Showing posts with label predictions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label predictions. Show all posts

June 14, 2008

Survival Toolkit: MUST READ: How scarcity, crime, overpopulation, tribalism, and disease are rapidly destroying the social fabric of our planet

Because Wolfy and I care about YOU, we want to repost this article.

It is a classic that's been posted here before.

It's an article from a 1994 Atlantic Monthly with indispensible synthesis.

Excerpt:  It is time to understand The Environment for what it is: the national-security issue of the early twenty-first century. The political and strategic impact of surging populations, spreading disease, deforestation and soil erosion, water depletion, air pollution, and, possibly, rising sea levels in critical, overcrowded regions like the Nile Delta and Bangladesh—developments that will prompt mass migrations and, in turn, incite group conflicts—will be the core foreign-policy challenge from which most others will ultimately emanate, arousing the public and uniting assorted interests left over from the Cold War. 

The Coming Anarchy


The Minister's eyes were like egg yolks, an aftereffect of some of the many illnesses, malaria especially, endemic in his country. There was also an irrefutable sadness in his eyes. He spoke in a slow and creaking voice, the voice of hope about to expire. Flame trees, coconut palms, and a ballpoint-blue Atlantic composed the background. None of it seemed beautiful, though. "In forty-five years I have never seen things so bad. We did not manage ourselves well after the British departed. But what we have now is something worse—the revenge of the poor, of the social failures, of the people least able to bring up children in a modern society." Then he referred to the recent coup in the West African country Sierra Leone. "The boys who took power in Sierra Leone come from houses like this." The Minister jabbed his finger at a corrugated metal shack teeming with children. "In three months these boys confiscated all the official Mercedes, Volvos, and BMWs and willfully wrecked them on the road." The Minister mentioned one of the coup's leaders, Solomon Anthony Joseph Musa, who shot the people who had paid for his schooling, "in order to erase the humiliation and mitigate the power his middle-class sponsors held over him." 

Tyranny is nothing new in Sierra Leone or in the rest of West Africa. But it is now part and parcel of an increasing lawlessness that is far more significant than any coup, rebel incursion, or episodic experiment in democracy. Crime was what my friend—a top-ranking African official whose life would be threatened were I to identify him more precisely—really wanted to talk about. Crime is what makes West Africa a natural point of departure for my report on what the political character of our planet is likely to be in the twenty-first century.


the rest can be read here

<<>MUST READ > >

March 14, 2008

Future Trends in Energy - supplies graphic


Oil supplies may not last forever. But oil will be available for use long beyond our children's lifetimes. While no one can accurately predict oil's relative supply and demand, even in the near future, several theorists have attempted to predict when and how the world will run out of oil. The most notable theorist on this subject is M. King Hubbert.

Project World Demand for Energy by Type
Chart courtesy of Earth Science World and Exxon-Mobil


Hubbert's Peak

Hubbert's Peak Hubbert started out in the 1950's claiming that oil is a naturally occurring resource which will not last forever - production will rise to a point that cannot be sustained and then die down to a point of total depletion. This, to most, seems a fairly obvious assumption. Understanding his theories, one can conclude that once Hubbert's Peak has been reached, half of the world's oil reserves will have been depleted. This is also the case for a field with several wells. When one takes what has already been produced from the field and what can potentially be produced for the field combined this number becomes its ultimate potential. Its peak in production would be placed at the ultimate divided by two. The only way to precisely determine the ultimate for the world's oil reserves is to count them when they have been depleted

March 13, 2008

North American Indians Gather to Save the Planet

Posted on: Tuesday, 11 March 2008, 13:10 CDT

North American Indians assembled in a Mexican jungle in order to search for natural solutions to the ecological disparities which threaten the planet. Over 200 leaders from American Indian nations in the U.S., Mexico, and Canada gathered together at the base of ancient Mayan pyramids in order to discuss how their traditions could save the planet. They were reminded of the fact that even their indigenous Indian cultures have encountered environmental issues and struggled to the point of collapsing.

Elin Miller, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency regional administrator said, “As we stand here, very near Palenque, I am mindful that some scholars have suggested that environmental stressors contributed to the decline of the Mayan civilization.” Several theories support that it was deforestation which played a major role in the fall of the Mayan Empire.

According to Raymond Sensmeier, a Tlingit leader from Yakutat, Alaska, “…a cleansing is needed.” He says that mother earth is dying due to an alarming rate of pollution. Sensmeier also disagrees with the way scientists compartmentalize things, which he claims “promotes disharmony and imbalance.”

A ceremony before dawn launched the conference, which, according to Mexico’s environment secretary, Juan Elvira Quesada, is meant “to present the teachings of the original peoples of North America.” Fire, chanting, copal incense, and conch shell blasts opened the ceremony which is based on reviving Indian philosophies regarding respect, compensation, ownership, and use.

According to Bill Erasmus, a representative of the indigenous people of Canada’s Northwest Territories, the role of these indigenous people is to “wake up the world.”

Everyone knows that the climate is changing, but it is the assignment of the indigenous communities to become the “natural guides to restoring the world”, Quesada claims.






February 06, 2008

this morning's great urls .. 6 feb 2008 great snips

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2008/02/03/IN8LUO095.DTLSan Francisco Chronicle

STIMULUS PLAN A SCAM TO BENEFIT THE RICH,

Higher loan limits will lead to Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac bailout


Annie's letters: America’s whoredom season By Khalid Amayreh in ...

America’s whoredom season. By Khalid Amayreh in Occupied East Jerusalem. 5 February, 2008. “And the governor said, Why, what evil that man (Jesus) has done? ...
annies-letters.blogspot.com/2008/02/americas-whoredom-season-by-khalid.html - 4 hours ago - Similar pages - Note this

Tuesday, February 5, 2008 Geostrategy-Direct.com
Cheney: Eavesdrop because terrorists don't fight by the rules of international law
Vice President Dick Cheney said last month that the terrorist threat to the United States remains a real danger and so U.S. intelligence agencies need strong authority to conduct electronic eavesdropping and other intelligence-gathering activities.

“The terrorists waging war against this country don't fight according to the rules of warfare or international law or moral standards or basic humanity, and we have to be clear-eyed about the character and objective of these adversaries,” Cheney said in remarks at the Heritage Foundation on Jan. 23.
“They have a strategic goal to create the old 7th century caliphate, an empire stretching from Europe through the Middle East all the way around to Southeast Asia. They want to arm themselves with chemical, biological and nuclear weapons, and they would not hesitate to use such weapons.”

Banks lose billions
Published on Wednesday, February 06, 2008.

Banks losing billions, and replace it with more money, Citigroup and Lynch holding lion share of market risk, local services slashed, Yahoo! bounces back from layoffs by buyout notice
Banks are losing hundreds of billions of dollars and those in the banking industry tell us only losing $1 billion is considered a good news event these days. This is the kind of sociopathic insanity we have to listen to these days. Then their answer is to give us more money to throw at the problem and we will solve it. They are lying and they simply can't help themselves. They get totally divorced from reality. They are in total denial. We are also told that the infusion of capital from foreign institutions into the banking system to cover up their mistakes is a sign of strength. That is mindless. All the foreigners are doing is dumping dollars, which are the wages of de-industrialization, deregulation, free trade, globalization, offshoring and outsourcing. Better known as the termination of your livelihood. It has made us dependent on capital from the outside world. We have become junk-bond junkies. We are no longer the most productive nation in the world. We have been converted into sniveling, pathetic debtors who have been betrayed by our large transnational conglomerates.
Colleges and universities are concerned about the state of their financial aid programs. Sallie Mae does not deny it has problems, yet its CEO Albert Lord sold 1.2 million of his shares.
Private loans are available but they have variable interest rates that allow for higher rates.
Concerned about amounts of pension money that are being moved to outside managers and into opaque investments such as private equity, two trustees of the Texas teacher retirement system board, want to curb political contributions from investors, who do business with the fund. These trustees, who are both school superintendents and the only educators on the nine-member board, said that the $115 billion fund needs to disclose more information about the firm's it hires to invest its money and how they got the job.
Besides limits on campaign contributions the board will also consider whether the fund should publicly disclose placement fees and other payments made in connection with hiring money managers.
Texas has become only the fourth state with a pension fund that limits campaign contributions. Others are California, New Jersey and Connecticut. They should all do so.
Sometimes with financial dislocation comes tragedy. A high-ranking executive of a collapse subprime lender killed his wife and then jumped off a bridge in New Jersey.
Junk bonds are off to their worst start since 1990, falling 1.8% in January triggering $17 billion in losses.
In case you missed it at the State of the Union address by our president he said, "and tonight I am pleased to announce that, in April, we will host this year's North American Summit of Canada, Mexico and the United States in the great city of New Orleans." You'll get the same message from McCain and Clinton. Only Ron Paul can give us the kind of government we need.
A quarterly survey from Financial Executives International and Baruch College showed its optimism index sinking 6.6 points. CFOs have steadily for three years been expressing less confidence about the economy. They have seen recession coming. Of the 361 polled, 73% were concerned about the recession over the next year. 46% said a weaker dollar would have a negative impact on their business and 26% said it would have a positive impact.
Mortgage applications jumped to a four-year high as activity rose 75%. Remember the average applicant is submitting three applications, so the numbers are misleading.
Refi applications rose 22.1%, the highest since July of 2003, but the application index fell 17.7%. Refi's were 73% of all applications up from 66%. The 30-year fixed rate mortgage rose 11 basis points to 5.6%.
Banks may have to post additional write-downs of $70 billion or more as credit ratings for bonds are further downgraded.
Citigroup and Merrill Lynch hold 45% of the entire market risk. The fate of mono-line insurers is of paramount importance to financial stocks. If MBIA follows Ambac to double A, the game is over. Such an event could take the Dow to 9,000.
Merrill Lynch will no longer underwrite collateralized debt obligations.
Morgan Stanley wrote down $169 million after helping its money market funds by taking on bonds issued by their SIV's. They bought $1.06 billion in SIV's including $160 million since December the first.
Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Bear Stearns are under investigation by the SEC and the FBI, as well as the states of New York and Connecticut in the default of mortgage-backed bonds. The largest banks and securities firms have posted more than $133 billion in credit losses due to subprime loans. The FBI is pursuing violation of subprime lenders, housing developers and Wall Street banks that packaged loans as securities. They are also looking for criminal activity and insider trading.
Cities, towns, counties and states are slashing municipal services past the point of pain. They are cutting police patrols, laying off teachers and slashing municipal services. It's either do that or go into savings and that usually only lasts a year and the savings are gone. Even the more affluent communities are starting to show signs of strain. Spending by states has fallen precipitously forcing communities to rely more on property tax revenues, or use savings or services. The loss in revenue and inflation are killing these entities. Wait until they have to cut real estate taxes due to falling values. That is when the real problems will begin.
Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing is going to expand layoffs as a result of the recent $4 billion acquisition of Harcourt Education.
A rumor is bouncing around Wall Street, the City of London and in Paris and on Kaiserstrasse in Frankfurt that J.P. Morgan Chase has a $4 billion loss on a derivatives trade coming soon.
Yahoo is preparing to lay off 1000 workers in Sunnyvale, California the largest purge since the dot-com bust seven years ago. Yahoo reported a 23% drop in fourth-quarter earnings.
Yahoo shares then rose 45% when Microsoft offered to buy it.
The Conference Board said the December help-wanted index was 22 versus 21 month on month

Letter Re: A Federal Reserve Balance Sheet Disaster

Dear Jim,
I just read on a[nother] blog about an imminent Federal Reserve disaster.

There's no [mainstream] news coverage on it yet so this qualifies as a serious heads up.

Note the second numeric column. $40 Billion, has been since 1913, by law. Then notice it suddenly drops to $198 million and then two days ago the report lists the banks as minus $8.7 Billion, something which has never happened before.

How bad is it? Think Weimar Republic. The Fed can no longer stop inflation because the banks can't secure new money with debt. People aren't buying debt anymore. Ergo, hyperinflation is the natural consequence. Mark this day on your calendar. Best, - InyoKern
JWR Replies: In case you missed it, I mentioned the following in Friday's Odds 'n Sods: Hawaiian K. pointed out this Federal Reserve chart, showing that the Net Free or Borrowed Reserves (NFORBRES) of Depository Institutions just fell off a cliff. Let's pray that there aren't any bank runs soon, because the till is empty. It is a jolly good thing that the Fed is handing out so much cheap money these days, so the member banks can list part of these funds as "reserves."

Letter Re: Question on Body Armor "Expiration" Dates

Dear Jim:
There is an "urban myth" that Body Armor "expires" after the official manufacturer warranty runs out. Actually, the standard five year warranty is simply based on the insurance companies legal need to limit their liability - not on the actual performance of armor. (I have a sneaking suspicion that manufacturers don't complain too much about being able to sell new Body Armor every five years either!)

The National Institute of Justice (NIJ) has found that 10 year old used armor tests as good as new. Since we deal with a lot of Police Surplus we run tests on the oldest and worst looking vests we see (vests we would never sell because they are over 25 years old, on the old NIJ 0101.02 standard). Oddly enough, these old and beat-up vests always stop 9mm +P FMJ and .357 Magnum +P JSP for us.
Here is a direct link to data and photos.

Of course decertified Zylon vests are not to be trusted - regardless of age. However, good Body Armor lasts much, much longer than the five year warranty/insurance policy.
Thanks, - Nick Taylor, BulletProofME.com Body Armor
2007 into 2008
• Linguistically 2007 was the “Year of
emergence” where we see macro trends
forming
• 2008 is “Year of manifestation” and it will be
“ruled” to use the astrological context by two
memes (thought viruses) “Secrets Revealed”
and “Economic Collapse”

George Ure's presentation on coast to coast .. highly recommended



November 27, 2007

George Ure prepares us for the next few months

Report from peoplenomics.com and halfpasthuman.com

The links are requested, but I like to remind people about them from time to time, anyhooo.


This is kinda like a Big Day WOW! thing for me. This report is always eagerly anticipated, like my own private HUGE box of Godiva (Prefer Leonida's) to eat and NOT get sick.
THIS, THIS is the latest report, but no great surprises here. Not REALLY. It's about time for Dick Cheney to "get his" .... that's just one thing. The anger toward the Bushistas? Totally deserved and my take on Scott McClellan is right on target. This is awful stuff he is saying and perhaps we can use it to push these WAR MONGERS behind bars where they BELONG, so richly.

Oh, and remember what I say about the idiocy of the financial house managers - THEY CANNOT REORGANIZE THEMSELVES. They cannot see that IF they would stop and think about the sustainable future that we want to build, there would be plenty of work!! PLENTY!! But they cannot think outside the "box" they've built for themselves with THEIR media (consumerist, warmongering), their value set (get more! Kill anyone in our way!), and their inability to use hearts, hands, hopes and health together at one time. Sad comment, but TRUE. Remember this .. I worked at the Wall Street law firms, at many many major banks, in the City of London, at the United Nations .. I KNOW how warped the values reallly are.
If you are new, and don't know about the linguistic runs, head over to halfpasthuman. FIND OUT. You will be glad you did - and tell George I sent you. You'll WANT to fork over that 40 bucks, you really will. It's about the best deal I know of.

Tickers & Time Tinkers

Things are at a serious enough point where the time monks at www.halfpasthuman.com have given me the green light to roll out a little more of the predictive linguistics so you can brace for what's ahead for the population of the USA in the next couple of months. If you repost any of this, a link to both this page and www.halfpasthuman.com is required. So fasten your seat belt, here's a kind of sneak peek under the covers as to where we are, where we're going, and 'what comes next.'

Let's start with the report Monday that vice president Cheney has been been undergoing heart treatments for an irregular rhythm.

This is something we've been expecting since it popped up in the predictive linguistics almost 6-months ago. From ALTA 0108 (Part Zero, May 2007), we seemed to get a sense that the health issues would begin around the time of some new disclosures about what it's like inside the Bush White House. Best we can figure, the coming 'tell all' book by Scott McClellan which was unveiled a couple of days back is just about a perfect temporal marker. Here's how it looked when reported as a linguistic probability mid May of this year:

"As the modelspace is progressed into December and the [results linger/limp_along] from the [power outage], the TPTB entity is showing that the [exposure (of the) hungry mouth/teeth] will [precipitate] a [wave/residual flow] of [bad luck/happenstance]. The data sets are under the influence of the [conflict] meta data layer, and are supported with [beasts] and [blood], as well as [crippled/lame] and [damaged tendons pulling]. This sub set has the supporting aspect/attributes with close links to the Press entity which point toward a [visibility] of the [warfare/strike] with TPTB causing an image of [rapacious/lust], and [hunger (for) all (things?/resources)] to emergence within the global mediastream. This is *not* good for TPTB entity and there will be a swift [reaction] and an [attempted purge] of some [offending voices/faces].

"There are several detail layers within the aspect/attributes which help to describe the situation immediately following the [exposure] of the [conflict]. These are pointing to a [bed-ridden/sick/ill] [government] with specific references to vice Dick Cheney. There are other sets going to [loss (of ability) to reunite], with special emphasis on the [fractured/split] being [permanent], and [without (possibility) of repair]. This area shows that the [broken alliances] will [leave stranded] (many) in [desolated plains/places]."
Plain as mud? At the archetype level, t the visibility of warfare/strife within the TPTB entity is well met by the McClellan book, and along about now, we have the vice president's health issues, and with the opening of the Middle East peace conference in Annapolis today, linguistically at least, one way to read the view from May of this year would be not to expect any reuniting as the fracture in that part of the world will be permanent and is past repair.
Time and Markets

Before returning to some of the linguistics for the markets in the coming weeks, let me first drag out a chart for you to ponder. I know the market futures are pointing to an up day in the market as we head into the opening, but the market popped to the up side yesterday too, and that didn't keep us from seeing nearly 240 points whacked off the Dow.

I've been closely watching how this market seems to be running parallel to the declines which followed the market peaks in 1929 and 1987, and as you'll see, the markets right now (today) are at an important 'fork in the road' because if we don't stop this decline in its tracks, the Fed and other PTB forces may not be able to prevent a wholesale rout over the next couple of weeks are events in the past (we think of these as 'self-seeding time cycles' but there's nothing in the literature, so just use the words to conjure up what that means) and events rhyme/echo to cause a next bigger down move.


Now, to return to the linguistics, from the ALTA 0508 report, there was a sense that although there would be a break in the 'panic' language that accrued around the end of August/early days of September, for a 72-day respite, the problems of the market would continue to build under the surface:
"As the modelspace is moved through the 'turn around' point of September 19th and beyond, the [blood letting] meme begins to accrue almost instantly. It gains strength through the Fall, and goes into its maximum emotional summation levels just as Fall transitions into Winter. Thereafter it fades rapidly as though 'once the beast is drained, nothing more to be said'. There are a number of temporal markers which appear in conjunction with the [blood letting] meme, and these include a [wave/tidal_wave] of [job loss] within [banks]. This area is also curiously involved with [visible] examples of people who [abandon] their [positions] as the [banks fail], and those who [stubbornly maintain attendance] even though their [former employer] (the bank) has failed. This [visibility] of the [bank employees wandering aimlessly] and [locked doors] represents the second level of the [employment crash] and the beginning of the [visibility] for some of the [new populations/self_organizing- collectives] to begin to appear in global mediastream.

The [progression of loss of money/currency] which is supported by bespoke [confidence] such that a better interpretation of the whole of the aspect/attribute set might be a [progression of the loss of confidence in currency/paper_debt]. As part of the other temporal markers for this period include [officials] who [make rash promises], and [other officials] who [act as though blind, rashly running (into) obstacles and crying out]. These last are apparently within the [currencies industry] which is another name for the Federal Reserve Bank/Central Bank...which we note is *not* a bank, and therefore is very likely the 'beast' being let of its blood over the course of this Fall. There are repeated references to much [stink] in the way of [talk/verbiage (from/of) officials] which is shown as [doing/accomplishing no things/results], and indeed actually [causing/initiating inter national arguments]. In the end, at the deepest level of support for this area, the [officials] are described as being [exhausted/deflated] and [weeping] and [broken] and [energy depleted]. At this level the cross links go more heavily to the Bushista entity where they are terminating in the main in areas which are controlled by, or participate in [revolution] as a meta data layer, *and* as the actively rising {ed note: near the end of Fall}, dominant aspect/attribute set within Bushista. Apparently lots of people will be very very very p*ssed off about losing all their 'power' and 'money' and will assign blame to the Bush White House."

Again, as you read the linguistics, it's important to read the words trying to sense the 'feel' or 'texture' of what the words paint. With this continuous 'turning' of the markets, we have to confess to being less than surprised when it was reported yesterday at Citibank may be cutting as many as an additional 45,000 people from its payroll, a headline number that's sort of buried by LameStreamMedia in the USA, but which has not escaped the notice of the Chinese media group at Xinhua...

As the September 15th 0508 Part Three continues, we also get a vision of what late winter and heading into spring will 'feel' like - revolutionary change in the wake of economic failure in general and the foreclosure crisis in particular:

"This area is also described within the Markets entity as the [point/time] in which [decisions] are [taken/made] which will begin to manifest as the [new populace] entity that we have been observing forming up in modelspace. Apparently the [fuzzy revolution] will begin to emerge into [visibility] this Fall as [squatting] in [blanks/empty houses] will take on a whole new meaning, and which in turn will begin to build [new collectives/communities] within the populace. This is mostly affecting of the Populace/USofA, but some of the themes will emerge from patterns in other parts of the planet. There are images of [people/crowds (who/which) squat/seize/appropriate] [golf courses], and [canals/other water-ways/sites] where they will [construct places of food production]. In several of the more visible [squatting incidents] there will be actual [battles] with [officialdom] which are shown as [proceeding/lasting] for several months."
When reading these linguistics, it's important to realize that 1) the language always seems to err on the side of the extreme and 2) it is often not an event, per se, that is referenced, but rather the emotional reactions of the planet/population as expressed in MainStreamMedia.

An example of this was the case a while back where linguistically we saw references to a 9.5 earthquake associated with Hawaii, which has very high emotional values, but it turned out to be a rumor reported in Hawaiian media that was passed along the beach and that rumor was what was picked up because of its emotional intensity.

So, just because the language goes to falling markets, collapse of paper assets, or even a bed-ridden vice president and failed Middle East talks, and problems for the upcoming shuttle mission, none of this means these events will happen, it's just that down at the archetype level of mass consciousness measured by scanning millions of web discussion groups, this is what the language shifts imply.

The time monks continue to work on tuning of the technology. The actual beginning of the release period came a couple of days ahead of schedule (McClellan's book references on the 20th) and so with each 'hit' linguistically, a few words/phrases can be tweaked this way or that to improve the temporal accuracy of forecasts.

If you're looking for something really, really big as a 'forecast', you might want to watch the upcoming Atlantis space shuttle mission. Here, we've got loads of linguistics that seem to foretell an Apollo 13-like "Oh my God, will they make it?" kind of event, but sadly, nothing specifically actionable in the way of preventative measures. Even if we had, who would believe such a garage based effort? We won't post that whole section publicly, until the events that seem to be foreshadowed to occur over the Atlantic occur (or don't), although this gives you some sense of it:
"This last has the descriptor set of [unknown object] as a place holder or 'variable' in the programming sense of the word. The data sets are indicating, and we are predicting from them, that an 'unknown at this time' object will be [dislodged] and it will be the proximate cause of a [disastrous unfolding/process]."
Hopefully, that's just an artifact of the processing, which with more than 200 operations on millions of half page snips is to be expected. But, in a sense, the lack of minute details about the future may be a blessing. If we could say "stay off that street corner tomorrow at 2:53 PM because a bus will go out of control" the accuracy be such that mere possession of it would make some of us outright expendable, as people hungry for power will usually stop at nothing. On the other hand, seeing only the broad brush of events before they happen is useful in terms of 'bracing' for whatever comes next. The disclosures to come about some of the presidential wannabe's is another area to be watching. January-ish.

To return to our economic focus, the problems of the dollar (from ALTA 0708 Part 0, 10/21/2007) continue to center on the troubled Buck:
"The longer term value sets remaining from ALTA series 0508 continued to accrue supporting sets under the [millions of small particles]. It now appears that while there are certainly [housing] related inferences within the data set, the *more* likely interpretation is now for either [dollars] or [credit cards]. There are several large sub sets supporting both aspects within the [millions of small particles] new accretions. These data sets of [credit cards] and [dollars] are perhaps *both* legitimately represented. The interpretation of both would forecast a [fall default] wave on credit cards, and this would come in conjunction with a huge [repatriation] wave of [dollars] back to the [usofa]. How this [repatriation] might occur is less clearly described. There are hints that a [complete/total] [abandonment] of [us treasury] and other paper debt instruments would in effect be [repatriation] of [dollars], and would certainly be in the [millions] levels. Further there are
also pointers toward a [forced purchase] which involves [metals/commodities] and another which involves [property] of an unknown type. In both cases these are seen as [repatriating] [millions] of [dollars] back into the system.

There are recent accretions from the immediacy values of 0708 which also are going to the idea of [millions of dollars] [returning home]. This is cross linked internally with 2/two aspect sets of interest. The first these is terminating in [housing] and seems to be pointing to yet another wave of [foreclosures] and other [abandonment] issues which will begin to surface in late October/early November. Then in conjunction with aspect/attributes from 0508, longer term values sets, the other cross link is pointing toward a [mutiny/insurrection] which is directly held within the Markets entity. This area has very extensive cross links over to the Bushista entity, but is still holding its mass entirely within the Markets entity linguistic structure. The [mutiny/insurrection] values have a very high [visibility] sums, and therefore are expected to be covered by the global mediastream. Further, the [mutiny/insurrection] is apparently to surface as we move into the release period
after November 22. In this case we note that the Markets entity is forecasting that the [mutiny] will [topple/fall] the [markets] in December of this year. An additional and possible interpretation for the [mutiny] area also includes [retreat]. The support for this area includes [under/pressured by] and [disparate/separated forces]. There are also [iraq] values directly held as well as extensive cross links over to the [failure] sub set within Bushista. In either interpretation, the impact will hasten the [degradation/death] of the [usofa dollar], and have very serious [dampening] impact on the [markets] for [paper] originating in the [usofa].

Not that there won't be plenty of [drama], [heartache], and vast amounts of [increasing tensions] in the [markets] prior to December's 'release language episode'."
So on that note, I can only tell you that while we have hope that a major 'crash' kind of event won't happen in December, down in that preconscious place where people don't spend much time (it is very scary!) there are shifts in the archetypes that seem to be sending us warnings that would fit with precipitous economic decline. Is it just a Big Fear or Real Deal? We're about to find out...

Having posted this larger context of future events, it's a little repetitious for me to go through a bunch of links about what's going on today - or more accurately, what happened yesterday that's coming out the news pipes today.

Most of the broad brush of things is fairly clear, and except for filling in a specific event detail (like the precise Consumer Confidence number at 10 AM Eastern today, or existing home sales about the same time) we can just go ahead and skip ahead to our "Coping" section so we can get to the actionable work: collecting ideas for how to be ready for what may...

Some headlines this morning go to the idea that now that the market has done a 10% correction everything is set for a rally. Here's a "Duh!" for you: Although a 200 point rally would be widely reported and hyped, if it comes on the heels of a 237 point drop the previous day, it's only a dead-cat bounce on steroids, but then again, I guess you have probably already figured that...

----snip and save section ----

Coping: Great ideas
Lots of emails coming in, so here are some snips to save. Let's start with how to pass the time...
"For your upcoming coping page, something most folks won't think of, is having on hand a few decks of cards, cribbage and backgammon boards, dominoes, and non-electronic board games (you know, old-fashioned Parcheesi, Monopoly, Scrabble, etc). The stress relief and competition of playing games (or sports) can make hard times seem a little easier. Also birth control - can't think of anything more inconvenient than becoming parents in the middle of an apocalypse."
And no, playing cards for profit at someone else's expense is not a proper use of cards. Depression, or not.

Next, let's talk about fireless cooking.
"George,
I have done two published articles on “Fireless Cooking” (cooking with retained heat ), modern-day haybox cooking, bearing similarity to today’s posting about cooking rice in a pot that has had the fire turned off except that an insulated container is used to hold in the heat the pot has received. I have done fireless cooking many hundreds of times over 30 years in a variety of vessels and it works great. It is a way to potentially save a considerable amount of fuel in a crisis because most foods cook with no additional heat input beyond the point where boiling is achieved. I

www.solarcooking.org covers “fireless cooking” and every conceivable aspect of solar cooking, too, for those who might want to build their own solar cooker from scratch for a couple dollars. This is a huge website.

www.thermos.com carries Nissan vacuum products and they make the “Cook and Carry System” Fireless Cooker which I’ve personally used for 15 years. It is tremendously efficient and compact; has a 5 quart capacity. They had 4 sizes at one time but now just sell the one at $125. Their vacuum technology is head-and-shoulders the best in my testing. Their wide-mouthed thermos bottles make the best fireless cookers of this sort esp. where a portable unit is desired. Just pour in the boiling hot ingredients, seal it up and give it 2 to 2-1/2 hours for most foods (beans take longer and may benefit from a reheat.)

Another thing Aprovecho (www.aprovecho.org) has done work on is the “Rocket Stove”, a small cook stove that uses ridiculously small amounts of wood to cook a family’s food. See 40 pp. tech paper off their home page that also has a section on “Fireless Cooking”.

A lot of the best technology in the above areas is directed to Third World countries but it would behoove us to pay attention while the internet is readily available.
The commercially-produced “Zipp Stove” ( a wood-burning camping stove in two sizes from www.zzstove.com ) accomplishes a similar feat for a few bucks but the smaller unit requires a battery to power its draft fan. But I would still recommend knowing how to make and use a Rocket Stove if I lived where fuel might be an issue, which may be everywhere with the eco-nazis on the loose.
Another reader has thoughts about this, too:
The item about cooking rice in a pot (heat off) reminded me of "Thermos cooking". In short, you put whatever you're cooking in a pot, add water, and bring to a boil. Then pour it all into a vacuum insulated bottle. In a few hours your meal is ready. I tried it several years ago and it works great. For more info see: http://www.homestead.com/peaceandcarrots/Thermoscookinglinks.html
Home Stocking:
"Have your readers look at Sprouts... I've been buying the following in bulk.
http://www.wheatgrasskits.com/sprouting/5_part_salad_mix.htm 5 part salad mix Crunchy lentil fest and many others for variety
Then Spirulina, Grits, multi-grain cereal, Rice and seeds.
I have Chickens and Rabbits and then guns for protection..
Its funny how just about everyone at my work say that I can't stock pile enough for all of them and I just kindly remind them that I stock for my family and a select few and then bullets for the rest... They think I'm joking..."
And a question:
"I looked at the site about the 100 things that go missing first from a Sarajavo survivor.... Excellent reference list but #14 and #15 are missing.
Wonder what they were? They were near the top of the listings too."
Hmmm...haven't had time to look yet.... more tomorrow...

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