Showing posts with label Center for Strategic and International Studies. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Center for Strategic and International Studies. Show all posts

May 02, 2008

Consider the source .. terrorism

The War on Terror Is the Leading Cause of Terrorism

(note nothing is said about Israeli terrorism .. )

UK Guardian
Posted: 2008-05-02 03:37:54

More than half of all terrorist deaths during 2007 occurred in Iraq and the world suffered an overall increase in terrorist deaths, partly due to rises in violence in Afghanistan and Pakistan as well as Iraq, the US state department said today.

In its annual counterterrorism report, the US state department said the number of people killed or injured in terrorist attacks jumped to 67,000 in 2007, up from 59,000 the year before. About 60% of those occurred in Iraq.

The number of terrorist attacks in 2007 was roughly flat compared to 2006, indicating that terrorist organisations are become more adept at their deadly craft.

"Around the globe, people are getting increasingly efficient at killing other people," said Russ Travers, deputy director of the national counterterrorism centre.

He noted that as security forces improve barriers against car bombs, suicide terrorists have turned to backpacks to deliver explosives.

David Heyman, a terrorism expert at the Centre for Strategic and International Studies, noted the increase in chemical attacks, for instance using chlorine, in Iraq, and said that shows the country is a terrorist training ground in addition to a war zone.

"This is a heads up," he said. "Those who have gone to Iraq are in that theatre to not only attack civilians and disrupt US operations and kill Americans, but to train as future terrorists in other countries."

The report states that al-Qaida remained the chief terrorist threat to the US and its allies, noting that the group had reorganised in north-west Pakistan since it was driven from Afghanistan after September 11 2001.

Meanwhile, al-Qaida in Iraq has been weakened by the US presence in that country, the report stated.

A strengthened US presence in Baghdad, along with an increase in cooperation from Sunni tribes, "has succeeded in reducing violence to late 2005 levels", the report notes.

In addition, "The continued growth and improved capabilities of the Iraqi forces have increased their effectiveness in rooting out terrorist cells."

Rebel terrorist attacks in Colombia declined, as did attacks in Saudia Arabia and Jordan, the report noted, while the number of attacks in Pakistan doubled, and the number of deaths quadrupled in 2007 from the year before.

State sponsors of terrorism continue to undermine efforts to eliminate terrorist threats, the report said. The report said Iran is the principle national sponsor of terrorist groups, noting its support for Hizbullah in Lebanon and Shia militias in Iraq.

Officials cautioned against using the data as an indicator of progress in the US war on terrorism, in part because of its reliance on incomplete and often ambiguous information.

"In an aggregate count, we're talking about different groups with different agendas," Travers said.

According to the report, about 9,400 police and roughly 2,400 children were injured or killed in terror attacks, with both figures representing an increase over 2006.

Attacks against schools, particularly girls' schools, increased, with 300 strikes killing or wounding 180 teachers and almost 800 students, according to the report.

Al-Qaida killed about 5,400 civilians, a figure that the state department said belies the group's claim it doesn't kill innocents.

A substantial number of terror victims were Muslims, and more than 100 mosques were struck in terror attacks in 2007.

Attacks on journalists increased 22% in 2007, and hostage situations involving journalists increased to 79 in 2007, up from 47 the year before.


March 27, 2008

Russia likely to dominate NATO agenda







CANADA has made some pretty harsh-sounding demands on NATO recently and a summit meeting the alliance is about to hold in Bucharest, Romania, is the perfect stage for Prime Minister Stephen Harper to restate them.

Mr. Harper wants NATO to find at least 1,000 soldiers to help Canadian troops as they fight the resurging Taliban in Afghanistan.

Of the few NATO allies actually slugging it out with the Taliban, Canadian forces are taking, proportionally, the highest casualties. This has gone on for years and it doesn’t surprise even the coolest conflict intellectuals in Washington that a bitter "enough is enough" sentiment is spreading in Canada.

In fact, if you look and listen carefully, you will discover a measure of understanding for Canada. But I think it would be foolish to read too much into this glimmer of sympathy. Canadians may be justifiably ticked off, but it doesn’t look as if Washington could or would do much to find the reinforcements Ottawa is demanding.

The question of additional troops from somewhere to help the Canadians was raised at a high-calibre briefing on Tuesday by experts on NATO offered by the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a leading Washington think tank.

A journalist wanted to know whether Canadians would get the help they are asking for. The answer he got was revealing. "I don’t know," replied Stephen Flanagan, CSIS vice-president and Henry J. Kissinger professor in national security policy.

France is sending paratroopers to Afghanistan and the United States is sending in more Marines, he added, but he was "not sure" any of them would end up in the Canadian sector.

When they spoke on the phone on Jan. 30, President George W. Bush told Mr. Harper that an additional 3,200 U.S. Marines would be deployed to Afghanistan. The prime minister informed Mr. Bush that he would extend Canada’s mission in Afghanistan, but only if NATO comes up with the additional 1,000 combat soldiers.

I take it as a given that Afghanistan and the reluctance of many NATO members to do their share – or even to lift a finger – got plenty of caustic attention from American diplomats as they haggled over the communique that would be released when the NATO summit ends April 4.

But I’m not holding my breath that any country will march up its troops to help their Canadians allies.

The NATO summit will be dominated by a non-member of the club. Russia, I think, will push other concerns aside, including Canada’s demands.

Vladimir Putin, in his last hours as Russia’s president, is fuming at NATO’s attempt to enfold Ukraine and Georgia, former Soviet republics, in the Western alliance.

He will also use Germany, Spain and, possibly, Paris to block the United States from setting up missile defence bases in Poland and the Czech Republic.

Mr. Putin could not seek a third term as head of state, but nobody in Washington believes he will become merely head of government. His successor, Prime Minister Dimitry Medvedev, was elected president March 2, and the two are merely flipping jobs – but not power.

For Vladimir Putin, much is riding on what happens in Kiev and in Bucharest, NATO’s capital for the duration of the summit. Mr. Bush will give a speech in Ukraine’s capital just before the NATO summit. He knows what he wants. He knows what Ukraine and Georgia expect and that the intensity of political expectation in both capitals cannot be overstated.

Both have been led to believe they will be given their internal political road maps to NATO membership. That’s why what Mr. Bush says will be either a go-ahead or a promise of a go-ahead signal, as the CSIS’s Mr. Flanagan speculated.

Any American compromise on Ukraine and Georgia, the CSIS expert said, would tell Russia "we are not serious."

Anti-missile bases in Poland and Czech Republic are the second bomb ticking in NATO. Janusz Bugajski, director of CSIS’s new democracies project, pointed out that "within the last 24 hours" – as of last Tuesday noon – Russia threatened to split up Ukraine when it raised claims to the Crimea.

On anti-missile bases, Russia threatens Poland with nuclear weapons "every two weeks."

Russia’s threats would be sound and fury if NATO were united on both, the Polish and Czech bases and Ukraine and Georgia. But NATO is not united, with Berlin and Paris, to name just two allies, at odds with Mr. Bush’s plans.

George W. Bush told Poland’s prime minister, Donald Tusk, when they met at the White House on March 10, the anti-missile bases would be affirmed "on my watch."

He assured Ukraine and Georgia in the past that the United States is determined to see them in NATO. That’s why what Mr. Bush presents in Kiev when he speaks next Tuesday will be either an American marker or, at least for Moscow, an April Fool’s Day card.

( bkipling@herald.ca)

Bogdan Kipling is a Canadian journalist in Washington


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