Showing posts with label cost of living. Show all posts
Showing posts with label cost of living. Show all posts

May 15, 2008

As Britain declines, food prices go WAY up

Family budgets set to rise again as production costs climb at fastest pace for more than 20 years

Last updated at 16:15pm on 12th May 2008

Comments Comments (56)

woman shopping

Soaring food prices have sent household bills rocketing

Factory gate prices surged at their fastest pace since records began more than 20 years ago during April, official figures showed today.

Soaring petrol costs, Budget tax hikes on alcohol and tobacco as well as rising steel scrap prices pushed up output prices 1.4 per cent between March and April, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

This is the highest monthly increase since records began in 1986 - likely to fuel inflation concerns among Bank of England policymakers and jolt hopes of interest rate cuts.

The price hikes lifted the annual rate of increase to 7.5 per cent in the 12 months to April - also a record - as surging food product costs added to the pressure.

Most economists expect rates to fall to 4.75 per cent next month, but the gloomy figures add to fears that the Bank's hands will be tied by its inflation-watching mandate.

Howard Archer, chief UK economist with Global Insight, said: "This raises serious questions as to whether the Bank will be willing to cut interest rates as soon as June despite current signs that the economic downturn may be deepening and widening."

Meanwhile, millions of families are having to spend almost £1,000 a year extra on food after more punishing price rises.

The annual increase in the price of a basket of essentials surged to 19.1 per cent in May, according to the Daily Mail Cost of Living Index.

The rate has jumped alarmingly from 15.5 per cent in April – a 3.6 per cent rise – and there is no sign of the pressure easing.

And Factory gate prices surged at their fastest pace since records began more than 20 years ago during April, official figures showed today.

Soaring petrol costs, Budget tax hikes on alcohol and tobacco as well as rising steel scrap prices pushed up output prices 1.4 per cent between March and April, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

This is the highest monthly increase since records began in 1986 - likely to fuel inflation concerns among Bank of England policymakers and jolt hopes of interest rate cuts.

The price hikes lifted the annual rate of increase to 7.5 per cent in the 12 months to April - also a record - as surging food product costs added to the pressure.

Most economists expect rates to fall to 4.75 per cent next month, but the gloomy figures add to fears that the Bank's hands will be tied by its inflation-watching mandate.

Howard Archer, chief UK economist with Global Insight, said: "This raises serious questions as to whether the Bank will be willing to cut interest rates as soon as June despite current signs that the economic downturn may be deepening and widening."

There is now a worldwide crisis over supplies of key crops such as corn, wheat and rice. It has triggered food riots in some countries. And in the UK it has brought the biggest rises in bills in a generation.

A family which spent £100 a week on food last year now has to find another £19.10 for the same products, equivalent to £993 a year. Once "must-pay" bills for petrol, mortgages, power and council tax are added, the extra cost is more like £2,200.

Yet the official inflation rate is just 2.6 per cent. Experts say a worldwide drive to produce biofuels – made from corn, wheat and soya as an alternative to oil – is a major factor.

Farmers have switched from food production to biofuel crops.

Last month, the EU agreed the biofuel content of all petrol and diesel should be 2.5 per cent.

This is set to rise to 10 per cent by 2020. But the Government's two most senior scientists, Professor John Beddington and Professor Robert Watson, have called for a rethink on the rush to biofuels.

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shopping basket graphic

Professor Beddington said: "It's very hard to imagine the world growing enough crops to produce renewable energy and at the same time meet the enormous demand for food."

Gordon Brown is understood to be preparing to call on the EU to scrap the plan.

The effect of biofuels on food prices has been dramatic. A litre of corn oil has more than doubled in a year, to £1.38, in one of the big supermarkets. Fusilli pasta, made from wheat, is up 81 per cent, a baguette by 41 per cent and Weetabix cereal 21 per cent.

Farmers are also facing huge increases in feed bills, leading to dearer meat and dairy products. Milk is up 16.6 per cent, English butter by 62 per cent and mild cheddar by 25.6 per cent.

Free-range eggs, which come from hens fed a corn mix, have leapt in price by an alarming 47.4 per cent in a year to £2.58 a dozen.

Basmati rice is up more than 60 per cent in 12 months and Britain's biggest supplier, Tilda, has warned of a further rise of around 30 per cent in the coming year.

Chancellor Alistair Darling has called on his EU counterparts to take radical steps on food prices. He wants "fundamental reform" of the controversial Common Agricultural Policy.

The soaring price of oil is the second major factor battering consumers. Figures from the AA show the cost of diesel has risen by a quarter in the past year, while unleaded petrol is up 15.4 per cent.

The organisation says motorists are the victims of international oil speculators and UK taxes.

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household bills graphic

Spokesman Luke Bosdet said: "The oil companies tell us there is no shortage, but market speculators are having a field day gambling on prices.

"It is a pantomime. The Government is threatening to add another 2p in duty in October. We think the Chancellor needs to announce as soon as possible that this will be postponed."

The higher price of oil is dragging up the cost of both gas and electricity.

Householders who have seen a 15per cent increase so far this year face another 25per cent rise by September.

The Daily Mail Cost of Living Index is compiled in association with the price comparison websites MySupermarket. co.uk and uSwitch.com.

MySupermarket offers price comparisons across the big three chains – Tesco, Asda and Sainsbury's.

Many families, however, are changing to budget stores such as Aldi, Lidl and Netto.

Sales of fresh produce at Aldi are up a remarkable 40 per cent year-on-year. The Government's official inflation rate, the Consumer Prices Index, is expected this week to put inflation at around 2.6 per cent.

The Office for National Statistics argues that falls in the price of electrical gadgets, clothes and furniture offset the increases in food. But critics say that fails to reflect real life.

Tim Wolfenden of uSwitch said: "Consumers must be feeling like the rug is being pulled out from under their feet. Every time they regain their balance another set of price hikes knocks them over again.

"However you look at it, 2008 is shaping up badly for British consumers."

Comment Add your comment Comments (56)

56 people have commented on this story so far. Tell us what you think below.

"The Office for National Statistics argues that falls in the price of electrical gadgets, clothes and furniture offset the increases in food. But critics say that fails to reflect real life."
But I don't buy any of those every week and I can't eat them.

- Bernard, Edinburgh Scotland

This is not just in Britain. Global food prices have rocketed recently. However, people have made so much on their houses in the last few years, that this rise is easily affordable.

- Graeme Carter, London, UK

And where are we supposed to find this extra money?
They are making billions in profit.
Something has to be done soon. Or we will be the country that is going to need food aide!
Or this country is going to become a land of homeless starving paupers!

- Colin, Essex

The Consumer Price Index is very accurate. I buy furniture, clothes and electrical gadgets once a week, but only buy food, gas, petrol etc once a year. If only...

- Marlene Dietrich, Bradford

At the care home I work for, the residents' food allowance has only been increased by 4% since last year which means that we keep having to cut back on what we buy and serve. The company does not want to spend any more on the residents and denies there is a problem.

- David Jessop, Newcastle, UK

I have yet to see something that has gone up by just 2.5% which is what this bunch of shysters tell us is the rate of inflation. The Labour party is around 20 million pounds in debt and has not been in the black for years yet we are told to trust these people with our economy. Look around the world and you see Governments reducing, suspending or stripping various forms of tax and VAT to help their people. What does our lot do, why the only thigh this sad bunch know how to do and that's put up tax again. The fact that our pathetic chancellor is still considering upping the fuel tax says it all. He should have announced weeks ago that this was not to happen. With the extra vat he is getting due to the rising price of crude he could reduce the cost of fuel by 9p a litre but this is the Government of take take and take.

- Duncan Walker, London England

What a ridiculous statement in a market economy.

Spokesman Luke Bosdet said: "The oil companies tell us there is no shortage, but market speculators are having a field day gambling on prices."

If there was enough for the World's needs then the price would come back down - that's how the market economy works. In reality, the oil price is on a one way trip to $200 a barrel and beyond, and in fairly short measure. The only thing that might hold it back is the likely recession in the developed world but that's only going to act as a slight brake, it won't stop the relentless rise. We need to adjust to the fact that over the next generation or so, our living standards are going to drop - the free ride on the back of the petro economy is over for good.

- Kevin Phelps, UK

For decades food has got cheaper in real terms. This is the first significant increase I can remember. Maybe it'll make people buy more cheap vegetables and stop wasting so much food.

- Marty, Altrincham

Expect Gordon shortly to suggest 'let them eat cake'!

- Graham, St Albans

It's much the same over here, I have one good meal a week - as in steak and 5 forms of veggies.

- Caval, Melbourne, Australia

So inflation is at 2.5% is it! in Nu Labour La, La land it may be, but in the real world with us mere mortals it is 18% and rising.

- D Brown, Solihull

Nu Labour government is driving this country to the brink of poverty, where do they think you get the money from for all these extras, my daughter now goes food shopping with twenty pounds to feed three of them.

- Jean Hartell, Wolverhampton England

The government will still tell us inflation is below 3%.

- Robert Morgan, Houghton-le-Spring, Tyne & Wear

When will the public be told the real facts about the EU? It has been responsible for ADDING at least £20/week to the food bills of the average British family for years. In addition our budget contributions ALONE since we joined are worth about £500 Billion at today's values. Yet we are not even being given the opportunity to vote on the EU Constitution which will destroy the UK as a nation.

- Jerry, Croydon, England

When fuel costs increase, so to does the cost of food. It's time for the fuel levy to be reduced, in an effort to bring down food prices.

- Michael, Bedfordshire

How many families drink a bottle of Jacobs Creek Chardonay each week at 64% up and frozen peas up 67% (when you can substitute for veg in season, broccoli, lettuce and tomatoes are all the same as last year)? Take these out of the equation and the statistics are more realistic. Methinks the Mail doth protest too much!

- Sk, East Sussex

The food crisis is caused by the European Union, for three reasons. First it stupidly follows all the fads about green foods and it insisting that grain is converted to petrol rather than being used as food. Secondly, the Common Agricultural Policy is notorious for encouraging and rewarding inefficiency. And thirdly, by preventing a free world market in food it makes food from outside the EU expensive. Remember when we used to have all that lovely butter, cheese and other products from New Zealand? The sooner we leave the EU the better.

- George, Bolton, England

The sooner there is a General Election the better.
New Labour has taxed us all to death especially childless couples and single people who cannot claim tax credits.

- Stephen Holmes, Withington Manchester

2.6%... what a joke. Of course the true inflation figures could not possibly be published as this would have an immediate knock on effect on inflation linked pay claims. Just goes to show that how easily the figures can be manipulated to try con the minions. We can see through you Mr Brown (and cronies).

- Eric Hall, Chester le Street, Co. Durham

Gordon Brown's measure of inflation, the CPI, says it is only 2.4%, do NuLabour really think the public are stupid enough to believe them. To say that "falls in the price of electrical gadgets, clothes and furniture offset the increases in food" is ludicrous - I don't buy these every month, but I do need food, water, gas and electricity on a daily basis. What world do they live in?

- Mo, London

The extra £19 per week could be saved by dropping the alcohol alone. It could be further cut by dropping the chocolate biscuits, extra varieties of breakfast cereals and bread. It is also unnecessary to purchase bottled water when you already buy from the tap! I live on a low wage but get by on food from my allotment and only a few luxuries once in a while.

- Louisa, Winchester

Britain now has the most disreputable, tax thieving government ever. McBean would have us believe that the cost of living increases are down to world finances. Not so! Much is down to stealth taxes, council tax, fuel duty. Hope the electorate of Crewe consider this next week.

- Terence, Hereford, UK

Why are the public constantly been bombarded with price hikes. What was once an essential has now become a luxury full of packaging and surplus tax. Shame on those companies who are starving the public while they can eat all there alarming profits. It just doesn't make sense!

- Suzan Gumush, Kent

'victims of international oil speculators and UK taxes'.
There are no shortages, their GREED is the problem.

- Mickey V, Manchester UK

The official index of inflation needs to be scrapped and replaced urgently with something realistic. The same must be said of Gordon Brown.

- Tom Katz, Weybridge, UK

Re: your price index. Please tell me where you can buy bread at £65p. We pay £1.15 at our supermarket.

- Dennis, Sunderland UK

Brown wants to save the poor of the whole world, why doesn't he resign and grab a job at the UN instead, then maybe we can have a strong PM geared to raise the UK standard of living, where we can all feel secure enough to give generously voluntarily.

- George, London, UK.

So what are this government using to set the less than 3% inflation figures? Luxury goods should NOT be included in these mythical figures, essentials that we can't do without are the answer, but that would really set the cat among the pigeons, the truth might come out!

- Katie, Stoke

And, how on earth do you expect pensioners and retired people, those on fixed incomes and all those paid the minimum wage to exist?

- Kenneth, Suffolk, England

The CPI is a fiddle because the ONS does not reflect how consumer goods prices work.

Yes flat screen TV have dropped in price but they have now effectively replaced the old cathode ray tube TV. The price of a TV has therefore stayed the same not dropped.
When any new technology is introduced it is only the early buyers who pay the ridiculous prices asked.

- Dee Bee, Bournemouth

"We think the Chancellor needs to announce as soon as possible that this will be postponed."

No, the "chancellor" should ABANDON this theft, and REDUCE fuel tax by at least 20p/litre. He will still probably be laughing all the way to the bank even if he did this.

- David, UK

The great drive to save us from global warming is now costing people their lives. Stupid politicians in America and Europe thought Biofuel was part of the answer - tell that to the starving and dying throughout Africa. The EU should prevent the use of Biofuels and put pressure on the USA to do the same. I know I would rather eat than drive my car!

- John, Manchester

Perhaps people will now think twice before wasting food and flying to New York for the weekend. The winner is the environment.

- Anna, Brighton, England

The government would move the "goal posts" if it was appliances costing more and something not on the list costing less.

- Donald A Merritt, Watford Herts

Please do a like for like comparison (historical and current) with the U.S. and others in Europe eg: France, Germany. Then we can see whether the rises are the result of global influences or policies implemented by our current government.

- M Jeffs, Bucks UK

But there's no need to panic - inflation is running at only 2.5% - that's official.

- Martin, Newmarket, Suffolk

Thick sliced white loaf - 65p? Where do you shop? They are £1.20 in my local supermarket.

- Davep, Liverpool, UK

With prices going up hopefully it will stop people throwing out perfectly good food. Should balance out the wastage people have each year.

- Lol, UK

""must-pay" bills for petrol,"

That is LUXURY not "must pay.

You have problems paying for petrol, get rid of the car and take a bus.

- Ragnar Vagmornasson, UK

This country was self sufficient as far as food is concerned, then we joined the EU and they told us what we could and could not grow and how much we could grow. This shambles is the result of ten years of Labour bending its knee to any rubbish dictate from Europe and its destruction of our fishing and farming industry.

- John Phillips, Derby

A 20 kg Basmati rice bag used to cost less than today's price of 10 Kg bag.

- Di, London

I don't believe it - our wonderful Government tells us that inflation is only 2%.
Would they lie? Answers on a postcard please to Gordon McBroon, Temporary PM, Holyrood House (sorry, Downing Street.)

- Mike Randall, Worcester England

This is the time to get Labour OUT.

- Carol, Swansea Wales

It used to be the case that in third world countries people ate mainly rice and cycled everywhere.If things continue as they are in the UK,it won't be too long before we're all eating mainly rice and cycling everywhere. I suppose veggies and environmentalists will think this is progress!

- Mike, Dunstable England

The problem with bread, in particular, is that in this country it is rated as a premium product and so costs more in the first place. In other countries bread is rated as a basic staple and so costs less. My 'granary' loaf costs me anything from 1.48 to 1.60 unless it is on a special offer. I have cut bread now almost out of my life which has not only helped towards the cost of things I like but has helped also to reduce my waistline.

- Joe, Guildford, England

I'd like some of that 65p bread too! Haven't seen it at that price for a very long time...

- Harry Adams, Powys

I have said it all along, "This country is being held to ransom with a gun to its head' by the Macmafia and the Brussel Sprouts!

Their single intention is to close UK Plc down and turn into a prison colony!

- Neil Robinson, Hartlepool, England

Whilst I agree that the western world is being held to ransom by the oil producing States, it must be remembered that initial cost of crude oil is the same to all other nations of the western world. Why, then, is Britain more severely hit in prices at the pump than any of our European partners. The price we pay for diesel and petrol is directly reflected on the price we pay in the supermarkets for our essential food produce. Everything arrives on the supermarket shelves courtesy of road freight and diesel. If the British government’s economic and financial policy had not been so flawed over the last 10 years they would not need to take 65% in pump prices as tax, thus swelling the family shopping trolley by £1000.

- Michael Nye, Colnbrook, England

We now have a really big Tesco Extra in Shrewsbury, we also have Aldi, Netto and Lidl.

I have been round all of them, and Tesco come out cheapest for food on all accounts. So where are these shoppers getting these really cheap prices from when they mention these 'cut price' stores?

I think that these so called cheaper supermarkets have put out signals to people and conning them into thinking that they are cheaper.

Maybe it's where these shops are situated. Is Shropshire more expensive then?

- Jc, Shropshire

Let get back to valuing food. Why can't the young wives make wholesome food from leftovers just like we did in the 30s/40s/50s. The throw away society is in decline, and about time to.

- Peter Pyett, Rhodes Greece

In Morrisons two weeks ago green peppers were 78p, two weeks later they are now 99p, that's around a 27% increase in two weeks. How can inflation be around 2.5%?

- Frank Sloane, Durham

Brown the saviour who has taken a million children out of poverty and a million pensioners out of poverty, who has made five million benefit scroungers the new middle class (they seem to have all the latest mod cons and plenty of beer and cigarette money in my area). The taxpayer has been watching these sneaky tax rises going on for 11 years, and I hope those idiots who voted in this shower three times, feel thoroughly ashamed at their stupidity.

- Carol, Bideford, north Devon

Dennis, Sunderland UK;

Welcome to the planet Earth, Dennis, traveller from another world! Go in any Tesco, Sainsbury, Summerfield, Asda, Lidl, Morrisons etc and you will get a 800g loaf of bread for between 38p to 40p. It's called CHEAP VALUE own brand.

I rarely buy anything else and don't contribute 1p to the 10 Billion pounds of food wasted by all the 'wasters' in the UK. 'Wasters' who are daft enough to pay dear for their food, and then throw a lot of it away cause it makes them feel they're rich!

- Sean Hamerton, York

To Graeme Carter, London, UK - I fail to follow your rational about the increase in house prices cushions the home owners against the rising cost of living - you only realise the added price when you SELL your home, and then you either buy another at an inflated price - or live in "box city" and stuff the cash in your back pocket.

- Michael Nye, Colnbrook, England

Bread at Aldi is currently 37p a loaf.

- Cww, Suffolk

Sadly this something that will inevitably get worse. Fuel, food, travel, cars and household goods are going to get much more expensive. Every week there are millions of new consumers in China and India all wanting a similar standard of living to the West. The problem we have in the UK is that we are no longer self sufficient in anything.

- Djc, Preston

January 22, 2008

Britain: “Liar loans” drive hundreds of thousands into debt

Americans and Canadians brace yourselves .. many are going to hit the streets and become homeless. Most of the rot seems to show up in Britain first or at least get reported there as opposed to N. America where the ruling elite controls the media. A check of the swicki over there will show we've been posting about HOUSING for quite a while. Here is a good update from the UK, that gives a rough idea of some damage to be inflicted and how deep that damage will be (could be a whole lot worse in N. America, too. who's to say?). - V

By Keith Lee
22 January 2008

A recent report from the UK Citizens Advice Bureau (CAB) has revealed that hundreds of thousands of people are being driven into debt, end up in court and face the loss of their homes because of irresponsible lending practices, bad advice and downright fraud. For people who have longed to buy their own home their dream has turned into a nightmare.

The report Set Up To Fail: CAB Clients experience of Mortgage and Secured Loan Arrears Problems (December 2007) says mortgage brokers are providing loans—called appropriately “liar loans” or self certification loans—to people with poor credit records and “little or no financial acumen” without them having to provide proof of their incomes. Most people interviewed in the report said they relied on the broker for advice and guidance but many had not even been told the serious consequences of falling behind with repayments.

The report is also highly critical of the regulatory authorities and the Labour government, saying there are not enough safety nets to protect vulnerable borrowers.

CAB Chief Executive David Harker said, “

The cavalier behaviour of some brokers and sub-prime lenders is seriously undermining home ownership and hitting the most vulnerable borrowers hardest. Our research suggests that many aspiring homeowners have been mis-sold unsuitable and costly home loans that are doomed to fail from the start. Many sub-prime lenders are flouting the rules on responsible lending by granting loans when it’s clear the borrower will not be able to afford to repay it from the very outset, then getting tough immediately things go wrong. Far from providing housing security and a valuable asset, home ownership has proved a fast track to debt and homelessness for many vulnerable borrowers on low incomes.”

According to the CAB report, which was based on 1,200 case studies from 360 advice centres across the UK, the organisation was involved in over 57,000 cases of mortgage and secured loan arrears last year (2006-07), an 11 percent increase on the previous year. Research suggested as many as 770,000 people had missed at least one mortgage or secured loan payment in the previous 12 months.

The report shows how the majority of people coming into CAB offices seeking mortgage advice have been rejected by the High Street banks and mortgage lenders and are forced to take loans from sub-prime lenders at much higher rates of interest. It reveals that

“more than a third had household incomes below the UK poverty line, one in five was reliant on means tested benefits, and nearly 70 percent had outstanding unsecured debts averaging £22,000.”

More and more of people’s income is taken up with mortgage repayments of one kind or another. For a third of all clients interviewed in the CAB report, their combined mortgage and secured loans payments were over half their income; for 12 percent of interviewees their repayments were an unbelievable 70 percent of their income.

One case study in the report involved a 47-year-old local authority tenant living in Yorkshire who exercised the right to buy the property where he was living. A broker persuaded him to say that he was self-employed on the mortgage application form even though he was in receipt of incapacity benefit and disability allowance because of the severe mental health problems he suffered. Some months after completion of the sale the mortgage interest rate increased. Because he was unable to keep up repayments the lender took court action for possession of his house, leaving him facing homelessness and still in debt.

There has been a massive increase in the number of house repossessions recently, with some economists saying levels are now close to those seen when house prices slumped in the 1990s. The Council of Mortgage Lenders reports that repossessions rose by 75 percent last year to reach 30,000 and suggests this figure could reach 45,000 in 2008.

The CAB has also investigated the number of repossession cases listed in 23 county courts in January 2007 and found that sub-prime lenders were responsible for a huge number of them—

“in some cases the equivalent of ten times more than mainstream lenders.”
It points out that although many borrowers do not turn up to court thinking that they will automatically lose, the behaviour of the lender is so bad that many judges are forced to side with the customers.

The increasing difficulties facing homeowners is reflected in the extraordinary growth of the debt collection industry. It has quadrupled in size since 2003, from handling £8.6 billion worth of debt to £22.7 billion now. One of the most disturbing aspects highlighted by the report is the mushrooming of companies that are like vultures waiting for their next meal, preying on people who no longer have any solution to their debt problems other than selling their house and renting it back.

The evidence suggests that

“homeowners in a financially and emotionally vulnerable situation end up selling their houses for much less than they are worth, in return for a tenancy that offers little security of tenure.”
The state-run income support mortgage interest scheme and private mortgage payment protection insurance (MPPI) policies (held by one quarter of homeowners) are supposed to help in such situations. However, the former is woefully inadequate to protect those in greatest need of help and insurance companies often find ways to avoid paying out the latter.

A CAB office in south London, for example, reported how a woman with mortgage arrears had been signed off work by her doctor because of the stress involved in trying to keep up with the terms of a court order suspending possession of her house. After her claim on a MPPI policy was turned down she resorted to a sale and rent-back company and signed an agreement without receiving any advice or comparative quotes from the salesmen who visited her. While the property was worth £350,000, she got only £200,000—just enough to pay off her mortgage and unsecured debts. Although she also received a six-month £750-per-month tenancy agreement, the landlord then wanted to put it up to £1,300 per month, saying it had been incorrectly assessed. Shortly afterwards the poor woman was back in court facing possession for rent arrears.

The report also quotes evidence from the housing charity Shelter (http://england.shelter.org.uk/home/index.cfm) about the increasing use of credit cards to pay mortgages or rent, which has affected nearly 1 million people in the 12 months up to October 2007.

Shelter’s chief executive Adam Sampson said,

“Clearly, this is a huge problem which will only become more widespread as housing costs continue to rise. We would urge anyone struggling with the cost of their mortgage or rent to seek independent financial advice. The number of people hit by the credit crunch, interest rate hikes and unaffordable housing costs are rapidly rising.”

“For many people trying to keep a roof over their head, desperation is driving them to short-term, high-cost borrowing. Ordinary people are being forced to seek more risky and expensive ways to stave off the threat of eviction and repossession,”
he added.

The loans have been used to transfer wealth into the hands of the ruling elite, and at the same time become a means of speculation. Backed by the big banks and brokerage houses, mortgage companies aggressively marketed home loans to households that in the past would have never been approved for such loans. Home buyers were assured that they were protected by rising home prices, which would enable them, if they found themselves in economic straits, to sell their properties and have more than enough money to pay off their outstanding balances. With house prices falling throughout the country this will no longer be the case and portends a social disaster for many people in 2008. Auditors KPMG have predicted that personal insolvencies in England and Wales will rise to more than 130,000 from 109,615 in 2007.

See Also:
SEP candidate replies to letter on housing crisis in Wales
[7 May 2007]
UK poverty report draws attention to widening inequalities
[31 October 2005]
Labour policies make London a haven for the super-rich
[23 April 2005]
Britain: families depend on credit to survive
[22 June 2004]


January 15, 2008

Dr. Hudson: "Bernanke just raised US living costs 20%"

According to Dr. Michael Hudson, the headlines in the financial press are not reflecting economic reality.

The financial press is not reflecting the impeact of "helicopter" Ben Bernake's finanacial policies.

Instead the headlines should read "Bernanke just raised US living costs 20% " according to Dr. Hudson.


The Fed has let it be known that it may lower the discount rate by an
amazingly high 50 basis points. The dollar naturally plunged, gold prices
soared and oil prices followed suit.

The reason "Helicopter Ben" is flooding the economy with money is to
support stock prices for the wealthiest 1% of Americans -- those to whom
squiggles matter. (Lower-income Americans hold stocks mainly via pension
funds for the long term.)
said Dr. Hudson.

Pointing out that lower interest rates mean a lower dollar, Dr. Hudson suggests what the effect of higher import prices will be be:

lower dollar means higher import prices, for everything from oil to manufactured goods.
This is of concern for US policy makers for they seem unable to grasp the effects of US economic policies. Dr. Hudson asserts:
"Obviously, central banks today don't care about what they pretended so long to care about -- consumer prices, which was their excuse for TIGHTENING credit.
They're all for asset-price inflation, increasing the price of property
and financial claims relative to labor.

It's amazing that politicians pretend that exchange rates should be left to 'technocrats, ' e.g. flaks for High Finance and its short-term speculative gains."
Talk about recession regularly garners headlines and dominates the financial news. But few seem to understand the underlying effects of the Central bank's recent "remedies".

Dr. Hudson has been working on a new tax policy for the United States. and is President of The Institute for the Study of Long-Term Economic Trends (ISLET).

He is the Cheif Economic Policy Adviser for Dennis Kucinich who is running for US president in 2008.

His cover article in May's 2006 Harper's magazine presaged the coming of the subprime crisis and coming recession.




November 15, 2007

Unvarnished / wallpapered / manipulated truth!!

http://mwhodges.home.att.net/inflation.htm#1800

There is ia WHOLE LOT MORE at that link.

CHECK IT OUT!


Inflation Report
By Michael Hodges - email
updated Sept. 2007
- a chapter of the Grandfather Economic Reports -

INFLATION - WHO SAYS IT'S DEAD?

value flys away
88% EROSION OF PURCHASING POWER - AND CONTINUING

- a dollar in 1950 will buy only 12 cents worth of goods today, 88% less than before -

Inflation in my adult years increased average prices 1,000% or more -
example 1: a postage stamp in the 1950s cost 3 cents; today's cost is 41 cents - 1,266% inflation;
example 2: a gallon of 90 Octane full-service gasoline cost 18 cents before; today it is $3.05 for self-service - 1,870 % inflation;
example 3: a house in 1959 cost $14,100; today's median price is $213,000 - 1,400% inflation;
example 4: a dental crown used to cost $40; today it's $1,100 - 2,750% inflation;
example 5: an ice cream cone in 1950 cost 5 cents; today its $2.50 - 4,900% inflation;
example 6: monthly government Medicare insurance premiums paid by seniors was $5.30 in 1970; its now $93.50 - 1,664% inflation; (and up 70% past 5 years)
example: several generations ago a person worked 1.4 months per year to pay for government; he now works 5 months.
And in the past, one wage-earner families lived well and built savings with minimal debt, many paying off their home and college-educating children without loans. How about today?

Few citizens know that a few years ago government changed how they measure and report inflation, as if that would stop it - - but families know better when they pay their bills for food, medical costs, energy, property taxes, insurance and try to buy a house.

Is inflation a threat to society? Consider this famous quote:
"There is no subtler, no surer means of overturning the existing basis of society than to debauch the currency. The process engages all the hidden forces of economic law on the side of destruction, and does it in a manner which not one man in a million is able to diagnose." Lord John Maynard Keynes (1883-1946), renowned British economist.

DEFINITION OF INFLATION:
Inflation is the loss of a constant purchasing value of the dollar,
caused by an increase out of 'thin air' of the supply of money and debt creation by the financial system


10 graphic pictures help tell the story
(a picture is worth a thousand words)

This Inflation Report is a chapter of the Grandfather Economic Report series, showing serious economic and education trends facing today's families and youth, compared to prior generations.

Quick Links to sections this report
CPI Since 1800, Value of Dollar since 1950, For the Grandchildren, Annual CPI, Revising CPI, What is the CPI?, Foreign Comparison, Money Supply, Student Loan Debt, House Inflation, Mortgage Interest Rates, Commodity Index, Bottom-line

QUESTIONS:

  1. For 150 years America experienced relatively stable consumer prices, but in the last 50+ years prices have soared. Today's inflation is highest in 15 years. What happened?
  2. Why do we pass on to young families and youth a currency which has lost 88% of its purchasing value?
  3. Should we not provide annual rates of inflation of less than 1% as was achieved in the past, when family incomes consistently zoomed upward with one wage-earner per family - - and more mothers had a real choice to stay home and raise the kids?
  4. Should we accept statements that inflation is "under control" when nothing basic has changed to restrain the banking system from creating money and debt out of thin air, meaning the dollar's internal value may drop another 58% before our infants are out of college - and decrease by another 88% before they reach retirement age?
  5. Why do we have a government mandating inflation protection via cost of living adjustments for the incomes and medical insurance of government employees (federal & state/local) - - while many, many families pay extra taxes to provide that protection for others with no such guaranteed protection for themselves?
  6. Should we be proud today's families pay a higher share of their incomes on all taxes than before - another form of inflation?
  7. Should we be proud that inflation in housing prices has caused the highest percentage debt load on families in history?
  8. Should families be proud to take the 'buying power hit' caused by the fact today each working person must now support 3 times more state & local government employees than before, in addition to supporting more seniors per capita?
  9. Should we feel good about future prospects when the nations money supply has been driven up at rates 2-3 times faster than economic growth and much faster than that of our major trading partners, meaning more and more debt creation and more trade deficits are needed to support a dollar of growth?
  10. Should we 'feel safe' accepting official cost of living index reports when we know measurement criteria were dramatically revised during the 1990s to minimize same, plus recognizing that the CPI does not include cost impacts of government and taxes - - the largest spending component in the entire economy - - and does not reflect manipulated asset bubbles in stocks and real estate, or home prices?
  11. U.S. oil production peaked in 1970 and world production is expected to peak in the next 5-15 years. We now import over 60% our needs. Energy inflation appears as a 'ticking time-bomb.'
  12. U.S. inflation rates are higher than competitor nations, as U.S. trade deficits soared to new records each year indicating declining international competitiveness, causing us to become the world's greatest debtor.

cpi-1800.gif (5608 bytes)INFLATION HISTORY

Stable consumer prices for 125 years.
And then, prices soar up, up and away.

This chart shows the Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) from 1800 to today, a period of more than 200 years.

For the first two-thirds of this chart the consumer price index oscillated at or below the 50 point price index mark, indicating relatively stable consumer prices for nearly a century and a half.

Thus, 150 years of near nil inflation.

But in the past 50 years, especially after 1971, the consumer price index in this chart took off - -
- - inflating prices more than 1,000 times higher.

Note: prior to 1913, a period of relatively stable prices, there was no Federal Reserve Bank. This chart calls into question the stated purpose of creating a Federal Reserve in 1913 to assure price stability, when thereafter prices soared instead of becoming more stable. This chart appears to shout that > > the Federal Reserve was created for the purpose of generating inflation.

The data source for this chart is from the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, incl. data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (link #12). (The chart denotes U.S. citizens for the first time ever were disallowed in 1933 (FDR) from exchanging dollars for gold; in 1971 (Nixon) foreigners were likewise disallowed and the dollar ceased being backed by any gold standard.)


With those soaring prices, let us now look at what happened to the purchasing power of a single dollar - - from 1950 to today > >

decline of purchasing power of a dollar88% Decline of a Dollar's Purchasing Value since 1950

This chart shows an 88% reduction in the value of a dollar (its internal purchasing power) since 1950, where a dollar of 1950 is worth but 11.9 cents today - based on the consumer price index. Restated, an average cpi item costing $10 in 1950 costs $88 today.

Note in the chart: The accelerated fall of the domestic purchasing power of the dollar from 1965 to 1980 was due to higher annual inflation rates, which was a period when government social spending ratios were rising much faster than general economic growth.

As the chart shows, starting about 1981 and The Reagan Era, the decline of the purchasing power of a dollar started slowing dramatically - a significant rate of change in inflation compared to the prior several decades.

Now look to the right side of the chart, which shows an apparent slow-down in recent years. Actually this curve should point down faster after 1995, since in 1981 and 1995 the federal government changed the way their people measure the cost of living index by a cumulative 4.8% - - which otherwise would have placed the today's value of a 1950 dollar at 9 cents using the old criteria, not the 11.9 cents shown via the new criteria. (this is discussed further down this page).

For this chart, the average annual inflation rate since 1950 was about 4%. To some people 4% doesn't sound like a big number. However, compound 4% over 50+ years and the 1950 dollar is worth but 11.9 cents today - - as seen in the chart.

(Compound it out another 50 years into the future to 2056, when today's 15-year old will retire, and the value of today's dollar will be worth just 12 - - another 88% plunge - - bringing it to a value of just 1.5 cents when compared to the 1950 dollar.)


It takes $10,000 cash today to purchase that which $1,190 would purchase in 1950. And with higher combined federal & state/local tax rates today compared to then, it takes even more. Typical example: you need 39 cents as of 2006 to purchase the same stamp that cost just 3 cents in 1950 - - a 1,300% price increase - - and nobody dare claim any quality improvement for that increase.

Had annual rates not exceeded the approx. 1% average inflation rate of 1950-65 (see chart below) for the entire period shown it would take just $2,200 today (not $10,000) to be equivalent to the $1,190 of 1950 - meaning 78% fewer dollars to have the same buying power. No wonder many mothers were forced into the work-place to help make ends meet, as shown in the Family Income Report. If most of the men and women are today in the work-force to make ends meet, who else can a family send into the work-force during the next decades? Their children? And/or, just open up the southern borders even wider?

Who benefits from this performance? Answer: the financial sector and governments at all levels (and proponents of big government over families), as revenue streams are accelerated by both tax bracket creep, extending the caps for social security taxes, property taxes, and sales taxes. Inflation camouflaged government growth, as it expanded to consume and control a larger share of the economy.

And, government spending is mostly consumptive spending that adds inflation via increased demand of its employees and transfer recipients, without compensating productivity. Few deny that government is significantly less efficient and productive than the private sector. As it expanded its relative size, and as credit/debt soared, such contributed to more national inefficiency and therefore to a reduction in the purchasing value of a dollar.

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