Showing posts with label BP Royal Dutch shell. Show all posts
Showing posts with label BP Royal Dutch shell. Show all posts

October 17, 2008

OPEC calls emergency meeting as oil prices fall




Oil prices dropped below $70 a barrel for the first time in 14 months Thursday, prompting the OPEC cartel to call for an emergency meeting next week to establish some stability in prices that have plummeted recently after rising for months.

Oil prices have tumbled by nearly $40 a barrel in just three weeks as indications grow that demand for energy will slow along with weakening economies around the world. As recently as July, oil was trading at a record of $145 a barrel.

The decline in oil prices could provide a form of stimulus to the global economy as consumers pay less to fill up their tanks. If oil prices stay at current levels, American consumers would have $250 billion more, over a year, to save or spend elsewhere, according to Lawrence Goldstein, an energy economist. Some analysts expect oil prices to keep declining, perhaps to as low as $50 a barrel in coming months.

Americans will probably see lower energy bills this winter, as gasoline and heating oil futures also dropped sharply on Thursday. Gasoline prices now average $3.08 a gallon, or 3.8 liters, down from a summer peak of $4.11 a gallon, according to AAA.

The decline in oil prices came after a U.S. government report showed domestic crude oil stockpiles rose more than expected as Americans use less oil, in part because they are driving less. In the last month, domestic oil demand has fallen to its lowest level since June 1999, at 18.6 million barrels a day, according to the Energy Department.

Oil settled down $4.69 a barrel, at $69.85. The drop, along with other promising signs on the inflation front, was among the reasons investors bid stocks higher, with the Dow Jones industrial average closing up 401.35 points at 8,979.26.

Natural gas prices have also tumbled since their summer peak of $13.58 per thousand cubic feet, or 28 cubic meters. On Thursday, natural gas futures rose 19 cents, to $6.81, after a report showed that stockpiles rose less than expected.

While consumers may have reason to cheer the falling oil prices after such a sharp run-up, the wild roller coaster of volatility is a nightmare for oil producers and petroleum executives who say they need more stability to plan long-term projects to develop new sources of oil.

If they cannot be confident that they will get a stable return on their investment, they may hold back. That in turn could set the stage for possible shortages of oil and higher prices when global demand picks up again.

The sharp drop-off has forced OPEC's hand. The cartel said just last week that it would meet in mid-November, after the United States elections. But on Thursday, it rescheduled its emergency session for next Friday.

The cartel's producers, which control 40 percent of global exports, could curb their output by about a million barrels a day to try to stem the drop in prices, according to analysts.

It is unclear what price range for oil the cartel wants to establish. But the meeting "sends a clear signal that OPEC is concerned about the speed with which oil prices are slipping away from a preferred price of around $80 a barrel," said Lawrence Eagles, an oil analyst at JPMorgan.

The Iranian oil minister, Gholamhossein Nozari, told reporters in Tehran on Tuesday, "I think the low price is a real damage to the future of production."

From its inception, the oil industry has gone through countless cycles, with oil companies cutting investments when prices fell. The price collapse of the 1980s forced companies to slash investments and prompted a wave of large mergers through the industry. But this retrenchment left the world scrambling for oil when demand from Asian and Latin American economies soared.

Concerns that this pattern might be repeated were mentioned frequently during an industry conference in Venice last weekend, where oil executives said they worried that a prolonged recession, tighter credit and lower energy consumption would mean slower growth in energy supplies in coming years.

The credit freeze has already forced some projects to be scaled back, some energy analysts and executives said. "This is a real test," said Jeroen van der Veer, the chief executive of Royal Dutch Shell, in an interview at the conference. "Some people will be overstretched, and there will be some delays in some projects."

Over the last decade, growth in oil consumption has outpaced the ability of producers to meet that demand with more production. Many experts have predicted a new squeeze within the next five years that could once again propel oil prices over $100 a barrel.

The drop in prices has already created problems for oil producers. Iran and Venezuela both need oil prices at $95 a barrel to balance their national budgets, Russia needs $70 and Saudi Arabia needs $55 a barrel, according to Deutsche Bank estimates. The Algerian oil minister, Chakib Khelil, said Thursday that the "ideal" price for crude oil was $70 to $90 a barrel.

In Russia, which is not part of OPEC, the drop in prices is threatening the country's ability to increase production. The Russian government has reportedly agreed to allocate $9 billion to its four major producers — Lukoil, Gazprom, Rosneft and TNK-BP — to help them cope with investment needs amid the credit crisis.

In the United States, Chesapeake Energy, a gas producer, has recently indicated it will reduce its capital investments over the next few years in response to falling prices.

Global oil demand is undeniably slowing down, particularly in developed nations. Japanese oil consumption tumbled by 12 percent in August over the same month a year ago, while in the United States, demand fell by 8 percent in September.

Consumption is still growing in developing nations, but at a slower pace than in recent years. The International Energy Agency expects global oil demand to grow by just 400,000 barrels a day this year, to 86.5 million barrels a day. The agency, which had been revising downward its predictions all year, forecast growth of 2 million barrels a day for 2008 when the year started.

The two-day energy meetings last week were held in private in the baroque setting of the island of San Giorgio Maggiore, home to a 10th-century Benedictine monastery. In many conversations with senior executives outside of the conference meetings, they voiced concerns about their industry becoming increasingly vulnerable to a slowing economy.

"We pretty much know where supplies are going to come from in future years, but today the biggest uncertainty is demand," said Christophe de Margerie, chief executive of Total, the French oil company.

Some executives, though, are still holding out hope that Asian economies may weather the economic storm and help the global economy recover faster. Lower oil prices could also make it harder for some companies to survive on their own, leading to a new wave of mergers and acquisitions.

"This new environment is not all doom and gloom," said van der Veer, of Shell. "It can also provide some opportunities. Certain assets may become available."


August 06, 2008

OIL PROFIT$, most sickening story of the day

Oil giants report massive profits

By Shannon Jones
6 August 2008

Profits for the major multi-national petroleum producers surged in the second quarter of 2008 boosted by record oil prices. Leading the way were ExxonMobil and Royal Dutch Shell, which netted over $10 billion apiece.

Exxon, the world’s largest privately held oil company, reported a 14 percent rise in income to a record $11.68 billion, the largest ever for a US corporation. Some $10 billion of that came from selling oil, up 70 percent from the previous quarter. The massive profits came despite an eight percent decline in production from 2007, the largest in a decade.

Exxon cited a number of factors in the production decline including a strike in Nigeria and the nationalization of one of its large oil projects in Venezuela.

Shell, meanwhile, reported profits of $11.56 billion on revenue of $131.42 billion, up 55 percent. The company’s production of oil and natural gas fell one percent compared to last year.

The second largest US oil company, Chevron, said it had profits of $5.68 billion for the quarter, also a record.

Conoco Phillips and British Petroleum both reported record earnings. BP reported a $9.5 billion profit for the quarter and a $13.4 billion profit for the first six months of 2008 while Conoco took in $5.4 billion for the quarter. French energy company Total earned $7.3 billion.

The six largest producers saw a combined 40 percent jump in profits to $51.5 billion.

Other European-based oil companies also saw big increases in profits.

* The Italian oil company Eni SpA said its profits rose to $5.36 billion, an increase of 52 percent.

* Spanish Argentine oil company Repsol YPE saw its profits rise 11 percent to $1.4 billion.

* Norway’s StatoilHydro ASA reported a record second quarter profit of $3.7 billion.


Despite its massive windfall profits, Exxon’s share price declined because profits did not meet Wall Street expectations. Profits from its refining and chemical business fell due to shrinking profit margins, partly a result of higher oil prices.

One analyst commented, “Oil prices climbed 100 percent, but their profit was only up 14 percent.” He noted that the company’s stock had fallen 13 percent, the steepest decline in its history.

Exxon holds the record for the top six most profitable quarters in US history and the most profitable year. It produces three percent of the world’s oil and gas. For the first six months of 2008, the company took in $22.57 billion.

Crude oil hit a record $147 a barrel on July 11—having risen from under $25 a barrel in 2003.
Since then it has fallen considerably due to expectations of a drop in demand due to a slowing US economy. America consumes about 24 percent of world output. As of August 1, oil futures were still trading 90 percent higher than a year ago. Demand averaged 20.7 million barrels a day over the last 12 months, the lowest annual consumption rate since 2004-2005.

Exxon’s profits amounted to $128 million a day or nearly $1,500 a second. Its quarterly profit was slightly larger than the gross domestic product of Afghanistan.

The huge profits raked in by the oil giants while consumers stagger under high fuel prices is generating popular outrage. Oil company executives have deflected calls for a windfall profit tax by claiming the money is needed for investment in exploration and production. However, Exxon plowed $8 billion this quarter into repurchase of its own stock, a move solely aimed at enriching executives and investors. A report indicates Exxon spent only one percent of its $41 billion in profits last year into research into alternative energy sources.

Between 2005-2007 Exxon spent $89.5 billion on stock buybacks and just $2.9 billion in research and development. For its part, Shell handed out $3.8 billion to investors through stock buybacks and dividends in the second quarter. The five largest oil companies operating in the US collectively spent $194 billion on stock repurchases from 2004 through the first quarter of this year.

The major US oil companies appear headed for a combined $160 billion in profits for 2008. That compares to $123 billion in 2007.

Exxon and other oil companies have rewarded their CEOs with multi-billion dollar payouts. Last year Exxon CEO Rex Tillerson cashed in $16.1 million in stock options in addition to his $1.75 million salary. He also received a $3.36 million bonus. Conoco Chairman James Mulva received $31.3 million last year.

The failure of the oil monopolies to redirect any significant portion of their vast resources to research into new energy sources in the face of the dwindling supply of fossil fuels and the danger posed by global warming refutes claims that the capitalist market can be relied on to rationally distribute resources. This is further underscored by the activities of speculators, including giant hedge funds, which have racked up huge profits from oil commodity speculation while returning no value to society.

July 31, 2008

Exxon Mobil Sets Record $11.68 Billion Profit In 2nd Quarter

Exxon Mobil, the world’s largest publicly traded oil company, reported on Thursday its best quarterly profit in history, but investors sold off shares in morning trading after expecting even higher earnings because of soaring oil and natural gas prices.

Record earnings for the world’s largest publicly traded oil company have become almost as predictable as the surge of gasoline prices at the pump in recent years, and for the second quarter income rose 14 percent, to $11.68 billion.

It is the highest quarterly profit ever for any American company, as Exxon made nearly $90,000 a minute.

Such profits have made Exxon Mobil a target of politicians in recent years, propelling calls for windfall profits taxes to finance research and development for renewable fuels to replace oil.

The principal reason for the company’s banquet of riches is rising fuel prices. Crude oil prices in the second quarter averaged more than $124 a barrel, 91 percent higher than the same quarter in 2007, according to Oppenheimer & Company. Natural gas prices averaged $10.80 per thousand cubic feet, up 43 percent from the quarter a year ago.

While high energy prices brought Exxon $10 billion in earnings from selling oil in the quarter, up about $4.1 billion or nearly 70 percent, not everything in its earnings report heartened investors. The company reported that its oil production decreased 8 percent from the second quarter of 2007, largely because of an expropriation of Exxon assets by the Venezuelan government and labor strife in Nigeria.

The company spent $7 billion, or nearly 40 percent more than the same quarter last year, to find and produce oil from new fields.

The company’s $1.6 billion in profits from refining was less than half than those in last year’s quarter because of lower worldwide refining margins. Earnings from its chemical business of $687 million were $326 million down from last year.

“Record crude oil and natural gas realizations were partly offset by lower refining and chemical margins, lower production volumes and higher operating costs,” Rex W. Tillerson, Exxon’s chairman, said in a statement.

Net income of $2.22 a share compared with $10.26 billion, or $1.83 a share, in the quarter a year ago. Revenue rose 40 percent, to $138.1 billion, from $98.4 billion in the quarter a year ago.

Excluding an after-tax charge of $290 million tied to an Exxon Valdez court settlement, earnings were $11.97 billion, or $2.27 a share.

Excluding one-time charges, analysts had expected Exxon Mobil to earn $2.52 a share on revenue of $144 billion, according to Thomson Financial.

With this quarter’s result, Exxon topped its own record of $11.66 billion in the fourth quarter of last year.

Wall Street did not respond positively to the results. Exxon shares sold off in mid-morning trading by more than 3 percent. Oil and natural gas prices continued their recent slide, as investors viewed the slowing economy increasing the probability that energy demand would slip over the next several months.

Earlier, in London, Royal Dutch Shell, Europe’s largest oil company, reported a 33 percent increase in second-quarter profit on Thursday, helped by a higher oil price even as production declined.

Like a smaller rival BP earlier this week, Shell profited from higher oil prices, , but a 13 percent drop from a record on July 11 raised some concern among investors about whether oil companies can keep up the pace of earnings growth. BP said earlier this week that higher oil prices have started to affect consumer demand for gasoline.

Shell’s profit rose to $11.56 billion from $8.67 billion in the period a year ago. BP reported a 28 percent increase in profit earlier this week and the Italian oil company Eni said on Thursday that profit in the second quarter rose 52 percent.

Oil companies are under pressure to find new reserves as their traditional fields age and are face increasing competition from state-run oil companies in Russia and the Middle East. Shell is also looking to make up for production lost in Nigeria, where militants attacked an offshore production vessel in June, and in Russia, where it had to sell its share in the Sakhalin Island oil and natural gas project to state-controlled energy company OAO Gazprom last year.

Oil and gas production fell to 3,126 thousand barrels of oil equivalent a day from 3,178 thousand barrels.

Shell’s chief executive Jeroen van der Veer pledged to continue investing to spur growth. “Shell is making substantial, targeted investments to grow the company for shareholders and help ensure that energy markets remain well supplied,” van der Veer said in a statement Thursday.

The company agreed two weeks ago to spend about $5.9 billion to buy Duvernay Oil Corporation of Canada to increase its gas production from tough rock formations and is in talks with Iraq about some service contracts.

Intellpuke: You can read this article by New York Times writer Clifford Krauss, reporting from Houston, Texas, and Julia Werdigier, reporting from London, England, in context here:
" target="_blank">www.nytimes.com/2008/08/01/business/01oil.html?_r=1&hp&oref=slogin


July 12, 2008

Iran news

OPEC warns against military conflict with Iran

By James Kanter
Thursday, July 10, 2008

Abdalla Salem El-Badri, left, the OPEC secretary general, met in April with President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad of Iran. (Morteza Nikoubazl/Reuters)

VIENNA: The head of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries warned Thursday that oil prices would see an "unlimited" increase in the case of a military conflict involving Iran, because the group's members would be unable to make up the lost production.

"We really cannot replace Iran's production - it's not feasible to replace it," Abdalla Salem El-Badri, the OPEC secretary general, said during an interview.

Iran, the second-largest producing country in OPEC, after Saudi Arabia, produces about 4 million barrels of oil a day out of the daily worldwide production of close to 87 million barrels. The country has been locked in a lengthy dispute with Western countries over its nuclear ambitions.

In recent weeks, the price of oil has risen higher on speculation that Israel could be preparing to attack Iranian nuclear facilities. The saber-rattling intensified this week with missile tests by Iran. That has further shaken oil markets because of concerns that any conflict with Iran could disrupt oil shipments from the Gulf region.

"The prices would go unlimited," Badri said during the interview, referring to the effect of a military conflict. "I can't give you a number."

Analysts said the timing of Badri's remarks was noteworthy, given that the idea of an attack on Iran has been around for years. In addition, an attack on Iran would probably not specifically target oil facilities, said Johannes Benigni, managing director of JBC, an oil research and consulting firm in Vienna.

"Perhaps OPEC wants to say to the Americans in particular that there would be an economic price to be paid for an attack on Iran," said Daniel Gros, director of the Center for European Policy Studies in Brussels. "Gulf leaders also know that if a war broke out, the situation of some Gulf states also would become more uncomfortable and could have political difficulties for them domestically," he said, noting that some have their own Shia minorities.

Badri, a former oil executive who has headed the oil industry in Libya and also served as deputy prime minister of that country, called for a peaceful solution. He also suggested that an additional military conflict in the Middle East, besides the ongoing conflict in Iraq, would be severe and long-lasting.

"If something happened there, nobody would be able to solve it," he said.

The United States, Israel and other Western countries say Iran is seeking to develop nuclear weapons, but Iran says the program is only for civilian purposes.

Badri said that current geopolitical tensions were among the principal reasons why oil prices were so high.

He said that a shortfall in refining capacity and a weak dollar were other factors, and he reiterated OPEC's position that speculation on oil markets probably was the most important.

But he said that reserves of oil were plentiful and that worries about scarcity were misplaced.

Proven reserves of conventional oil worldwide rose slightly to about 1.205 trillion barrels in 2007 from 1.195 trillion barrels in 2006, according to one of two annual reports issued by OPEC on Thursday.

Supplies from Russia and Norway and other nations outside the 13-member OPEC are expected to keep growing, helped by technologies like turning gas and coal into liquid fuel and extracting oil from tar sands and shale.

Even so, Badri sought to assuage concerns about a supply shock, saying that OPEC members already were investing $160 billion in new production capacity up to 2012.

But he said additional investment in future production capacity could be limited, potentially sharpening a dispute with consuming nations about whether sufficient steps are being taken to meet demand over the next decade.

The International Energy Agency, an energy monitor based in Paris and financed by industrialized nations, warned in its annual medium term report this month that oil supplies would remain tight over the next few years, despite the record-high prices. The IEA noted low spare capacity from OPEC, among other factors. It said that prices were high mostly because of fast-growing demand from rapidly industrializing countries like China, rather than because of market speculation.

On Tuesday, leaders of the Group of 8 economic powers warned that surging oil prices could be a key factor undermining world growth and called on petroleum suppliers to increase production and refining and to increase investment in oil exploration and output over the medium term.

Some analysts have predicted that oil prices could reach $200 a barrel this year as oil consumption continues to rise rapidly while supplies lag.

Saudi Arabia has said it would raise output in July. But OPEC has not officially increased output since a meeting last September. The next meeting of the group is in September. Badri said it was too early to say whether OPEC would raise output then.

OPEC also reported Thursday that economic growth in emerging markets would ensure that consumption worldwide increased annually by 1.3 million barrels a day to 92.3 million barrels by 2012, 102.2 million barrels by 2020, and 113 million barrels per day by 2030. The figure for 2030 represented a downward revision of the expected oil demand, by four million barrels a day, from the previous year's outlook.

OPEC officials said that improving recovery and production processes would continue to enable efficient recovery of hydrocarbons. But because of the diverse sources of liquid fuels coming from sources like natural gas and coal, total demand for crude oil pumped from wells would not exceed 82 million barrels a day by 2030.

Total withdrawing from Iran

Total, the French oil giant, has decided to back away from planned investments in Iran because of political uncertainty, a company official said Thursday, David Jolly reported from Paris.

Total's withdrawal from Iran, including a planned huge gas project in the South Pars field, makes it the last major Western oil company to give up on Iran amid pressure from Washington.

"We think that under current conditions it is not possible in Iran just now," Patricia Marie, a spokeswoman for Total, said.

http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/07/10/business/opec.php

worker at the South Pars oil and gas field. Total, the French oil giant, had planned a huge gas project in the area. (Morteza Nikoubazl/Reuters)
Total withdraws from Iran amid political tensions
By David Jolly
Published: July 10, 2008



PARIS: Total, the French oil giant, has decided to back away from planned investments in Iran because of political uncertainty, a company official said Thursday.

Total's withdrawal from the country, including a planned massive gas project in the South Pars gas field, makes it the last major Western oil company to give up on Iran amid pressure from Washington to stop doing business with the Tehran government. The United States, Israel and other Western countries say Iran is seeking to developing nuclear weapons, but Iran says the program is for civilian purposes.

"We think that under current conditions it is not possible in Iran just now," Patricia Marie, a spokeswoman for Total, said. But she said Total took a long-term view of the country's strategic importance to its business. "We are still interested in Iran."

The news was first reported Thursday in the Financial Times, which quoted the Total chief executive, Christophe de Margerie, as saying: "Today we would be taking too much political risk to invest in Iran because people will say: 'Total will do anything for money."'

Marie said that to her knowledge there was no pressure on Total from the French government or from Washington to end its business in Iran.

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Shares of Total fell 1.6 percent in Paris morning trading. They are down 17 percent over the past 12 months.

Total's Western partners on the South Pars gas project - Royal Dutch Shell, the largest European oil company, and Repsol of Spain - pulled out in May, leaving only Total and the Malaysian state company Petronas.

The announcement of Total's withdrawal came after Iranian missile tests Wednesday and Thursday that led Western leaders to express concern about the show of the country's military capabilities.

It also came after Representative Howard Berman, Democrat of California and the chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, called Wednesday on Washington and Brussels to punish companies that invest in Iran.

"We've had a law on the books for a dozen years that requires such sanctions, but it never has been enforced," Bloomberg News quoted Berman as saying at a hearing on Iran in Washington. "It's time for our European allies and their corporations to cease investing in Iran."

Marie said Total would seek to return to Iran when tensions eased, though she said she could offer no timetable. "National Iranian Oil Co. is a long-term partner of Total in Iran," she said. "Our strategy has not changed."

http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/07/10/business/total.php





March 28, 2008

The "West's" view of the Iraki oil situation .

Exxon Mobil Lobby Spent $16.9M

Thu Mar 27, 2008

This is pocket change to Exxon, cheap protection for their racket. -oom

Exxon Mobil spent $16.9M lobbying
March 19, 2008
http://money. cnn.com/news/ newsfeeds/ articles/ newstex/AFX-
0013-23905827. htm
<http://money. cnn.com/news/ newsfeeds/ articles/ newstex/AFX- 0013-23905827. htm>

WASHINGTON (AP) - Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM) Corp., the largest U.S. oil
company, spent more than $16.9 million to lobby the federal government
in 2007, according to a disclosure form. The company lobbied on
various appropriations bills and on legislation dealing with Federal
Aviation Administration reauthorization, patent reform, taxes and
royalties, international relations and trade agreements, lobbying
reform, railroad security and more, according to the form posted
online Feb. 14 by the Senate's public records office.

Irving, Texas-based Exxon Mobil spent $10.5 million in the second half
of 2007 to lobby on those issues. The energy bill President Bush
signed in December did not include billions of dollars in higher taxes
for large oil companies that many Democrats wanted to use to fund tax
breaks for various clean energy (NASDAQ:CLNE) industries.

Similar proposals were revived earlier this month and are working
their way through Congress. Besides Congress, Exxon Mobil lobbied the
White House, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, U.S. Trade
Representative' s office, the departments of Energy, Defense, Interior,
State, Commerce, Homeland Security and more. Lobbyists are required to
disclose activities that could influence members of the executive and
legislative branches, under a federal law enacted in 1995.

===

Iraq to pay oil firms to boost its output

By Randy Fabi and Ahmed Rasheed
http://www.guardian .co.uk/feedartic le?id=7397775
<http://www.guardian .co.uk/feedartic le?id=7397775>

BAGHDAD, March 19 (Reuters) - The Iraqi government is expected to pay
up to $2.5 billion to five top oil companies to increase the country's
oil output by nearly a quarter, a government adviser told Reuters on
Wednesday.In what would be the biggest foreign involvement for
decades, Baghdad is close to signing technical support contracts with
BP, Royal Dutch Shell, Exxon Mobil, Chevron and Total.

Thamir Ghadhban, energy adviser to Iraq's prime minister, said he
expected the contracts, which would add 500,000 barrels per day (bpd)
to current production of 2.27 million bpd, would be signed by early
next month.

"There is a rough estimate that it could cost about $400 to $500
million per field," he said in an interview."So a total could be up to
between $2 (billion) and $2.5 billion over two years that should be
paid by the government to companies.

"With oil prices at around $100 a barrel, the contracts could mean
extra revenues to Iraq of around $1.5 billion a month before costs,"
according to Reuters calculations.

Ghadhban said Iraqi representatives met with company officials last
week in Amman, Jordan, to discuss final details of the initially
two-year contracts, including whether payment would be by cash or by
oil."As far as we are concerned, everything is positive and it's a
matter of time for the minister of oil and oil companies to finalize
and shake hands," he said.

Shell is negotiating for the northern Kirkuk oilfield and is also in
talks, along with BHP Billiton, for the development of the Maysan
fields.BP also has its eyes on Iraq's southern Rumaila field, while
Exxon wants the contract for the Zubair oilfield in Basra.

Finally, Chevron and Total are looking to work together to develop the
West Qurna oilfield.

Ghadhban said he expected the companies to boost output by around
100,000 bpd at each of the fields
.

HEAD START

The ongoing talks have also given the five major oil companies a head
start in efforts to bid for future oil contracts.

"I have no doubt whatsoever those five major companies are going to be
qualified," he said. "They are major oil companies and of course they
will be qualified."

More than 100 companies have registered to compete for oil extraction
and service contracts to help develop Iraq's oil reserves, the world's
third largest.

Ghadhban said the government was expected to announce the list of
qualified companies next month, a month later than initially
expected.He said the technical support contracts with the five oil
majors needed to be finalized before the government could move on to
other contracts.

===

Forbidden fields: Oil groups circle the prize of Iraq's vast reserves

By Roula Khalaf and Steve Negus
March 19 2008
Financial Times

http://www.ft. com/cms/s/ 0/5b24f674- f5e6-11dc- 8d3d-000077b0765 8.html?nclick_ check=1

Royal Dutch Shell has been quietly working with Iraq's oil ministry
over the past two years, advising it on how to increase the production
of two oilfields. Under an agreement struck after the 2003 invasion,
no one from the company, Europe's largest oil group, has set foot in
the troubled country; instead, monthly face-to-face meetings with the
oil ministry have been held in Amman, the Jordanian capital, and
weekly contact has been maintained by video-link.

The Shell-financed project and the attention showered on Baghdad
appears to be paying off: Shell is now negotiating a technical support
agreement in which it will be compensated for helping upgrade
production of producing fields. The oil company will again set up a
team outside Iraq, helping, among other things, to bring new equipment
into the country and training Iraqis in its use. Shell is one of
several inter­national oil companies including BP and the US groups
Exxon Mobil and Chevron that have been tapping into Iraq's oil
industry by remote control. But now, five years after the invasion,
the oil groups are hoping to take their involvement in the country to
a new level. Baghdad, desperate to increase oil production yet starved
of investment, is starting to dangle what the companies have been
after all along: a chance to develop and later explore what may be the
world's most promising untapped oil reserves. Indeed, as the companies
gear up for technical support agreements, they are also registering to
pre-qualify for the first bidding round of oil development contracts
that are to be offered by Baghdad.

"The [initial projects] were done to work with the Iraqis, get a
feeling for fields and build relationships and knowledge," says one
oil executive, speaking of the assistance projects provided so far.

With parts of the global oil industry threatened with nationalisation
and much of the Middle East still closed to foreign ownership of
reserves, access to Iraq, with the world's third-largest oil reserves,
has long been viewed as a huge prize. Although no decision has yet
been made in Baghdad over the nature of the development or the
eventual exploration contracts that will be on offer, Iraq could prove
one of the rare countries in the region where companies will be
allowed to claim reserves as their own.

"This is the big frontier,"
says Raad Alkadiri, a senior director at
Washington-based PFC Energy. According to the oil ministry, only 27
out of 80 discovered fields are producing in Iraq, the result of
decades of under-investment. A report by Wood Mackenzie, the
consultancy, meanwhile says the scale of Iraq's remaining oil
resources surpasses all other countries in the Middle East, including
Saudi Arabia, and its high-quality reservoirs ensure that production
costs would be very low. But Iraq is also a dangerous frontier.
Companies invited to invest in its oil industry and satisfy
Baghdad's plans at least to double oil production from the current
2.5m barrels a day will be walking into a political, security and
legislative minefield. Their involvement threatens to exacerbate the
sectarian tensions that have torn the country apart since the US-led
invasion.

International oil companies acknowledge that security, although better
over the past year, will still need to improve significantly before
workers are dispatched to Iraq. The weakness of the central government
and its patchy control over the southern part of the country, home to
80 per cent of proved oil reserves, will also be taken into account.
Perhaps most important, however, is that they could be entering a
country with deep political fissures and lingering anger at foreign
intervention, without clear legislation allowing for foreign
participation. Despite American pressure and government desperation, a
law to regulate foreign access to the oil industry has languished in
the Iraqi parliament, a victim of sectarian disputes, particularly
between the Kurds and Arabs. Frustrated by the delays, and virtually
giving up on a successful outcome, the oil ministry has now invited
oil companies to pre-qualify for development of existing fields and
says a cabinet decision will be enough to legitimise foreign
participation. Later bidding rounds are envisaged for exploration
contracts.

Officially, companies say they will insist on having new legislation
in place before investing the billions of dollars that would be needed
for development and exploration. Yet the absence of a law is not
preventing them from embarking on negotiations.
"The companies are positioning themselves; they're playing the game and the oil ministry is trying to create a game for them to play,"
says Mr Alkadiri.
"Of course you can hit a whole set of problems and the companies are aware
of that and they will factor it in. But [outside Iraq] there are no
such reserves in an un­explored territory."

Adding to the complications is uncertainty over who has the rights to
sign contracts in Iraq. The Kurdish regional government, based in
Irbil, claims that the constitution gives it power over its own
resources within the borders of Kurdistan, while the government in
Baghdad rejects this claim completely. It insists it has the sole
constitutional authority to dispose of Iraq's oil resources. A further
difficulty is that oil is unevenly distributed throughout the ethnic
regions of Iraq, with resources concentrated in the Shia south of the
country and the Kurdish north. The minority Sunni Arabs, who formerly
controlled the levers of power under Saddam Hussein, can boast few oil
reserves in their ethnic areas. Their priority in negotiating in the
new Iraq has been to ensure they receive their fair share of oil
revenues. But the competing expectations of Iraq's communities have
never been confronted head on, and were sidestepped by the framers of
the constitution, agreed in 2005, by means of ambiguous language.
Specifically, the constitution' s article 112 says the "federal
government, with the producing governorates and regional governments"
should manage oil and gas, but only from "present" fields. The
document's Article 115, meanwhile, declares that "all powers not
stipulated in the exclusive powers of the federal government" belong
to local or regional authorities. The KRG has taken this to mean that
the federal government has the conditional right to manage fields
currently producing, but that a regional government such as itself has
the power to manage exploration and the production from newly
discovered fields. To exploit this loophole, the KRG has passed its
own oil law, which allows it to sign contracts with foreign oil
companies. It has signed such agreements with several (smaller) groups
from Norway, Turkey, Austria, South Korea and other countries in the
face of Baghdad's objections.

"In the Kurdistan region, there is a constitution and there is a law.
We have two instruments that we can rely upon: the law and the
constitution are a pair, and they're consistent and in harmony with
each other in our case," says Ashti Hawrami, KRG oil minister.

Baghdad, however, has declared the KRG contracts ­illegal,
blacklisting companies that deal with the Kurdistan region and, more
recently, ­cancelling export deals with South Korean and Austrian
groups that signed exploration deals with the KRG. This has kept
bigger companies away from the north. The Kurds' assertive attitude
has heightened the Sunni Arabs' attachment to strong central control
over the country's regions and their inclination towards economic
nationalism. Their political leaders have pressed for the constitution
to be rewritten to strengthen the federal government and reduce the
powers of the KRG. With no agreement on the constitution, the
hydrocarbons legislation which would set terms for foreign oil
companies along with an agreement on the sharing of oil revenues
locally was controversial from the start.

After months of wrangling, the Iraqi cabinet in February 2007 came to
an agreement on a draft framework that did not include revenue-sharing
legislation. Even that has not been passed by parliament. Moreover, as
talks over the oil law have dragged on, opposition to the
production-sharing agreements (PSAs) favoured by western oil
companies, once relatively muted, has grown among the majority Shia as
well underlining a resurgence in nationalism as much as a reaction
to Kurdish unilateralism. According to Hussein Shahristani, the oil
minister, the cabinet's approval of a draft hydrocarbons law last year
made no reference to PSAs, and what his ministry will offer companies
are "model contracts" that would attempt to balance investors'
expectations of financial return against domestic political concerns,
not least the determination of Iraqis to maintain ownership and
control of oil wealth. Kurdish officials, however, say the contracts
envisaged by Baghdad are PSAs in all but name.

"What's happening is that various parties are jostling for position
now rather than reaching agreement on the oil legislation,
says Yahia Said, Iraq expert and Middle East director at Revenue Watch, a project
at the London School of Economics.
"The KRG is trying to move with as many facts on the ground as possible and the federal government is trying to show that it's in control."
Apotential flashpoint for the oil dispute between Kurds and Arabs is in the oil field of Kirkuk, the
city that Kurds claim as part of their region but whose status is to
be settled by a long-delayed referendum. It is to minimise the risk
of such confrontation that the US has put enormous pressure on Iraq's
politicians to agree the hydrocarbons legislation. Judging it a
crucial element for Iraqi stability, the Bush administration listed
the oil law as one of the benchmarks the Baghdad government was
expected to achieve as the US military surge helped to reduce violence
over the past year.

Even with the likelihood of an oil law approval fading, US officials
continue to insist that it is essential for signing oil contracts with
foreign groups. For international oil companies, the hope is that as
the negotiations proceed over the next year, Iraq's political and
legislative landscape will gain more clarity. Iraqi experts, however,
warn that the oil law may be dead and Baghdad's only choice,
ironically, will be to fall back on legislation from the Saddam
Hussein era. Although meant to protect the nationalised status of the
industry, the legislation did not stop the previous regime from
negotiating specific contracts with foreign companies, which were then
agreed by the rubber-stamp parliament.

"The ministry might be able to get away with [contracts] by leaning on
Saddam-era regulations. Saddam negotiated contracts that were not PSAs
[the oil companies' preferred arrangement] but with Iraq the only
remaining major resource in the world, companies will have to have
some investment there," says Tariq Shafiq, a former director of Iraq's
national oil ­company.

Shut out elsewhere, executives await the end of a long exile Just
months before US tanks rolled into Baghdad and Saddam Hussein was
toppled, US government officials met allies from Iraq's opposition and
decided it was in the country's interest for a new government to open
its oil industry to foreign participation as quickly as possible,
writes Dino Mahtani.

The so called "Oil and Energy" working group of the US state
department, which met four times in 2002 and 2003 and included
influential Iraqi exiles, had put forward the idea as a crucial plank
in Iraq's postwar reconstruction plans. Increased foreign
participation in Iraq's oil industry, members argued, would help
revitalise its most important economic lifeline ravaged by years of
neglect and under investment under Saddam's regime. But it would also
get US oil companies close to Iraq's reserves, which remain
significantly under-exploited compared with those of other big
producers and, according to some geologists, could hold the world's
largest deposits, surpassing even those of Saudi Arabia. The Middle
East has largely been off-limits to international oil companies ever
since a wave of oil industry nationalisation swept the region,
starting in the 1950s.

In Iraq's case, the military coup that forced out the British- and
US-backed royal family in 1958 was followed by the gradual takeover
over the next 14 years of the Iraq Petroleum Company, previously a
concession that gave ownership of Iraq's oil reserves to a consortium
dominated by US, British and French interests. Access to Iraqi oil
today would give western oil companies an important foothold in the
Middle East, home to about 60 per cent of global oil reserves, at a
time when resource nationalism is on the rise and companies are having
trouble finding new oil reserves to replace those they exhaust. The
reserves they claim are a main determinant of their stock prices.

Western oil executives had long been impatient with the reluctance of
Middle Eastern countries to open up to foreign participation. This was
summed up in 1999 by the US vice- president Dick Cheney (below), then
a director at the oil fields services company Halliburton.

"Even though companies are anxious for greater access there, progress continues to be slow."
he said in a speech to the oil industry. After
the US invasion, American officials collaborated closely with their
Iraqi political allies and oil industry executives. Many members of
the Oil and Energy working group had pushed for production-sharing
agreements to be introduced in Iraq after the invasion. These
arrangements would allow companies to claim a share of the reserves
produced as their own, at least for accounting purposes.

In effect, such contracts would amount to a significant step in
reversing Iraq's nationalisation process. The oil industry was
well-placed to lobby for such an arrangement. After the invasion,
former executives of big multinationals acted as consultants to the
new Iraqi oil ministry. The US then hand-picked oil ministry officials
under the coalition provisional authority, which eventually handed
over to the interim government of Iyad Allawi. This in turn advocated
partly privatising Iraq's oil industry. When a transitional government
came into place, the US backed Ahmad Chalabi a man who famously said
in 2002 that
"US oil companies will have a big shot at Iraqi oil"
to chair Iraq's Energy Council.

Today, however, the openness of Iraq's oil industry to foreign
participation is still in doubt, not only because of the security
situation. Iraq has no national oil law in place. Its constitution is
vague about the degree of control regional governments can exert over
oil policy.

Iraqi officials know they will have the power to dictate terms to
foreign oil companies. "Iraq is definitely in the driver's seat. They
[the government] know they have one of the most prolific resources
left in the world," says Bob Fryklund, vice-president of IHS, the
international consultancy.

Energy producers such as Russia, Venezuela and Algeria have typified a
new wave of resource nationalism, in effect expropriating foreign
ownership of oil projects. In Libya, another country whose oil
industry has only just opened up to foreign participation after years
of sanctions, the government has now increased its take from all oil
projects to an average of 95 per cent, from 81 per cent in 2000. Even
in Kurdistan, where the regional authority has signed
production-sharing agreements, the government's take of future oil
produced is estimated at 87 per cent, says Mr Fryklund. Oil industry
executives say their companies will not invest if they do not get a
significant part of "the upside", industry jargon for expected
increases in production.

But Tariq Shafiq, a former director of Iraq's national oil company,
says companies would be prepared to accept variations of service
contracts that pay companies fixed returns rather than rewarding them
with control over reserves.
"Given how prolific Iraq is, the return
to international oil companies [under service contracts] would be just
as favourable as under investment [contracts]. And I believe the
companies are aware of that,"
he says.

===

US Company to Help Expand Iraqi Refinery
By SINAN SALAHEDDIN

http://ap.google. com/article/ ALeqM5i3MIE14CmM Tl3e-zkwuFBsPOsO eQD8VGQ6OG0

BAGHDAD (AP) Iraq's Oil Ministry has signed a contract with the
Colorado Industrial Construction Services Co. to help expand a
refinery in Najaf, south of Baghdad, an official said Wednesday. The
$85 million contract is designed to increase the refinery's current
capacity of 20,000 barrels of oil per day by roughly 10,000 barrels
per day, a senior ministry official said.

"We are expecting the work to be done in one year or one year and a
half," the official told The Associated Press, speaking on condition
of anonymity because of a lack of authorization to release the
information. The Colorado-based company did not respond to telephone
calls seeking confirmation.

The refinery, about 100 miles south of Baghdad, was constructed in
October 2006 to help meet increasing needs in central Iraq for
petroleum products, including kerosene. The U.S. company will build a
third production unit, the official said.

Last week, the oil ministry inaugurated a second production unit at
the facility and pledged more refineries would be built across the
country, including in Nasiriyah and Karbala, two other cities in the
predominantly Shiite south. Together the new refineries will be able
to refine more than 450,000 barrels daily, it said.

Iraq has the world's third-largest known crude oil reserves, with an
estimated 115 billion barrels, but it suffers acute shortages in
petroleum products as most infrastructure has been damaged or
destroyed after years of U.N. sanctions and then five years of war.

Iraq's three main oil refineries are running at roughly half the
700,000 barrels daily capacity they maintained before the U.S.-led
invasion on March 20, 2003. The shortfall has forced Iraq to turn to
imports from neighboring Iran, Kuwait and Turkey. The country has been
forced to import about 8,000 tons each day, or about 60,000 barrels,
according to figures released last month by the State Oil Marketing
Organization. Insurgents frequently attack pipelines, hoping to rob
the government of oil revenue.


Also of interest in very recent news:


Javno.hr
Global Insight: Violence in Southern Iraq threatening oil exports
Petroleumworld.com, Venezuela - 7 hours ago
New constitutional allowances for provinces to be bound together into autonomous regions of the likes of the northern Iraqi Kurdistan region are also coming ...
Democracy in the making Ha'aretz
all 710 news articles »
Heritage Oil announces intention to list on the London Stock Exchange
Canada NewsWire (press release), Canada - 1 hour ago
The timing is opportune given the high-impact drilling campaigns we will undertake in Uganda and Kurdistan this year. I am delighted to welcome General Sir ...
Shareholders of Heritage Oil Corporation Overwhelmingly Approve ... CNW Telbec (Communiqués de presse)
all 2 news articles »

BBC News
Return to Kurdistan
BBC News, UK - 26 Mar 2008
Kurdistan's future will be difficult enough, with or without the oil from Kirkuk, and these passionate students are the key to the region's growth. ...

Ghana Broadcasting Corporation
Five Years On - Invasion And occupation
CounterCurrents.org, India - 14 hours ago
The Turkish government is negotiating oil concessions with the Kurdish “Regional” government and Turkish companies have been heavily investing in the area. ...
Wobbling all over the place Economist
all 9 news articles »
KRG Natural Resources Ministry: Oil, gas, mining sector appointments
Kurdistan Regional Government, Iraq - 25 Mar 2008
As well as developing a robust private sector, the MNR’s petroleum programme will include the institutional development of a Kurdistan National Oil Company ...

San Diego Union Tribune
Iraqi Forces Clash With Sadr Militants in Basra for Third Day
Bloomberg - 22 hours ago
An oil pipeline in southern Iraq was on fire after a bomb exploded underneath it, the Associated Press reported, citing an unidentified official in Basra. ...
The Shiite - Shiite "Awakenings"...or Chalabi's revenge ? uruknet.info
Good Morning, Vietnam! Huffington Post
Iraqi Prime Minister Gives Shiite Militia 72 Hours to Surrender Bloomberg
Bloomberg - Bloomberg
all 3,964 news articles »

AFP
Norway's DNO revises oil deal with Iraq's Kurdish authorities
AFP - 14 Mar 2008
OSLO (AFP) — Norwegian oil company DNO International said Friday it had revised an agreement with Kurdish authorities on splitting oil production in two ...
Dispute over Kurdistan oil deals might be solved at federal court ...
International Herald Tribune, France - 10 Mar 2008
A national oil and gas law is stuck in parliament, with Kurdish and Arab leaders fighting over who has the final say in managing oil and gas fields. ...
Oil-rich Kurdistan still under thumb of Baghdad ministers
The Herald, UK - 20 Mar 2008
Kurdistan's oil minister, Ashti Harami, told us there are no limits to the success they can achieve: "You could create a new Dubai in every city in Iraq. ...
Iraq says it won't recognize oil deals with regional Kurdish ...
International Herald Tribune, France - 8 Mar 2008
AP ANKARA, Turkey: Iraq's oil minister said Saturday his government will not recognize any oil deals that the northern Kurdish self-governing region has ...

March 21, 2008

free link to book on abiotic oil ..

I Was Wrong (from corz.org's blog, link above)

From

Okay, I was wrong. About lots of things, probably, but particularly about Peak Oil. I hadn't considered it until I heard about it, even after that, and I guess it slotted beautifully into my Man-Kill-Earth (MKE) mindset. It made sense, and I was shocked, which tends to sink things in that bit further, all by itself.

But like I said, I hadn't considered it. Why should I? The facts are surely undeniable; crude oil is a fossil fuel, it was created way back in Neolithic Earth (or thereabouts, Neolithic just sounded poetic) and exists as a limited and finite resource scattered in tiny pockets around the globe, and we are using it all up, and we'll run out, right? Wrong. Totally wrong.

Put it like this; Something transformed Russia from an economically backward nation massively dependent on foreign oil reserves, into the world's largest exporter of oil (that is, on top of their own energy needs, of course). That something was the simple discovery that oil is not a "fossil" fuel, but is created, continually, deep within the Earth's mantle. And the development of the technology to get at it, of course.

They didn't keep it a secret, either. From the Forties on, a huge body of scientific data has amassed on the science, mechanics and practical extraction of "Abiotic" oil. They built hundreds of deep drilling wells, and, went on to to create enough wealth to become a world superpower.

Here's an image, with a link to a site with links to sites all about this..

an image

It's interesting that Western petroleum scientists, to this day, refuse to accept the (unrefuted) evidence, and there is a lot of it, that their whole idea about what oil is, is completely false. This isn't an entirely new phenomenon in the world of science, but with such vast sums of money involved, and private industry involved, you would think we'd get past the dogma, and quickly.

But, and this is a long and woeful "but" that spindles off into directions I wouldn't attempt to track here; illuminati, power, corruption, lies, many things; BUT all the evidence I've read suggests that for some reason, the powers that be would prefer not to drill even a fraction of the known conventional reservoirs, let alone explore the Russian's incredible new technology.

This rather fascinating free book may shed some light on things.

Written by a Chaplain who missionaried on the Alaskan pipeline construction, it details the astonishing lengths the US government went to, to delay, obstruct, and otherwise sabotage the construction of the pipeline to this vast oil field (of which they had granted permission to produce only a tiny fraction of, by the way) whilst simultaneously forcing the US into an energy crisis, national press stuff, farm machinery stopping, cars abandoned, pumps empty, the works.

The "why would a government do that?", I will leave to more inclined minds. Here I'm simply setting the record straight about Peak Oil, a rather ingenious and captivating lie. A hoax. Sorry. I hope you didn't get all anxious about it, as I did.

There is plenty of oil, and will be for a very very long time, probably for ever. Certainly long enough for us to develop cleaner, sustainable energy technologies, like hemp1 biomass. .

No. I'm not gonna get started on how a plant once so common and much-used that Culpeper2, in his famous Complete Herbal, stated..

This is so well known to every good housewife in the country, that I shall not need to write any description of it.

..could become outlawed, and in all the areas it provided for Mankind; paper, textiles, raw cellulose, food, medicine, etc., etc.; less efficient, more toxic and expensive alternatives were sold in its stead. Orchestrated insanity on a global scale.

See, from there we could jump to Du Pont, and then we're back into illuminati territory, fuck that. It's just too mind-boggling. Maybe another day.

for now..

;o)
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