Showing posts with label HSBC Holdings. Show all posts
Showing posts with label HSBC Holdings. Show all posts

April 11, 2008

banking dossier: Okay, why is Paraquay being financed? (!!!! ???)

Fair Finance Watch / Inner City Press

Click here for Inner City Press' weekday news reports, from the United Nations and elsewhere. Click here for Inner City Press' front page Human Rights Report

March 31, 2008

From last week's LA Times: " Overall, it is nearly impossible to distinguish funds meant for potential terrorism from legitimate transactions, said a senior State Department official, who, like some of the those interviewed, spoke on condition of anonymity because of prohibitions against commenting on the record on counter-terrorism." What prohibitions?

March 17, 2008

So how did Eliot Spitzer get caught? North Fork Bank, recently re-branded Capital One, filed a Suspicious Activity Report last July. Like most SARs, it went nowhere. Until HSBC filed its own, about transactions with shell companies QAT International and QAT Consulting Group, connected to Emperor's Club VIP. Now investigators took an interest, tracing back to Spitzer. Why was he banking with North Fork, of all places?

March 10, 2008

Barclays has been contacted by the Department of Justice and the New York district attorney with questions about payments made in dollars through its New York branch. The payments may have been made by people or companies from states which are on the U.S. blacklist of nations it believes sponsor terrorism. The probe referred to in Barclays' notes to its annual 2007 results on February 19, where it warned "the potential financial effect of any resolution could be substantial''.

ABN Amro was fined $80 million in civil penalties in 2005 for transactions through its New York offices which the U.S. government said failed to meet the necessary controls on money laundering. RBS said in its annual results published last week that ABN is the subject of an ongoing criminal probe by the DoJ over the same issue. Negotiations over a possible $500 million settlement are ongoing, RBS said.

HSBC yesterday noted in its results that it has a "small representative office in Tehran''. HSBC said it recognized that should it break the U.S. rules on sanctions, there would be "serious legal and reputational consequences''.

March 3, 2008

A Singaporean citizen and 10 companies she owns have been targeted under new US sanctions aimed at the Myanmar regime. Cecilia Ng is married to the incongruously-named Steven Law, whose father Lo Hsing Han is "known as the 'Godfather of Heroin'," according to the US Treasury Department. The department's Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) said in a Feb. 25 notice that Ng, born in 1958, is a Singaporean citizen who owns 10 companies including Golden Aaron Pte Ltd. State media in Myanmar reported in December 2004 that Singapore's Golden Aaron Pte Ltd was part of a consortium that signed an oil and gas exploration contract with military-ruled Myanmar. OFAC listed Ng's other companies as including: G A Ardmore Pte Ltd, G A Capital Pte Ltd, G A Foodstuffs Pte Ltd, G A Land Pte Ltd, G A Resort Pte Ltd, G A Sentosa Pte Ltd, G A Treasure Pte Ltd, G A Whitehouse Pte Ltd, and S H Ng Trading Pte Ltd. Ng could not be immediately contacted for comment on the allegations. A woman who opened the locked door at Ng's offices in Singapore's business district to AFP said she was not there. A plaque visible through the door listed Golden Aaron, S H Ng Trading and another firm, Kokang Singapore Pte Ltd. The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) said, "our rules are vigorously enforced. Should there be links with illicit activity, MAS will not hesitate to take necessary action." No mas!

February 25, 2008

The story of the week was Germany's payment for a CD-ROM of its citizens with money in Lichtenstein. Enabling tax evasions as an act of war? And what of Lichtenstein's posture at the UN of being in favor of international law? And what of the multi-million dollar penthouse owned by Lichtenstein, on 40th Street and 2nd Avenue, and the diplomats regaled there?

February 18, 2008

U.S. proposed rules requiring government contractors to report any fraud of $5 million or over that they find have a gaping loophole: they specifically exempt "contracts to be performed outside the United States," according to a notice published last month in the Federal Register. Can you say, for example, Lockheed Martin?

February 11, 2008

Now the Credit Union National Association says the emperor has no clothes: Section 326 of the USA Patriot Act requires institutions to check "a list of known or suspected terrorists or terrorist organizations issued by any Federal government agency and designated as such by Treasury in consultation with the Federal functional regulators." But did the federal government ever issue a Section 326 List? "To date, no such list has been issued," says Valerie Moss CUNA's director of compliance information....

February 4, 2008

More Russian action -- The Central Bank of Russia (CBR) has revoked the banking license of Moscow-based Industrial Development Bank (IDB), the CBR said last week. The CBR said that the bank had repeatedly violated the federal law on the prevention of money laundering and financing of terrorism. IDB also did not report to the Federal Service for Financial Monitoring on transactions subject to obligatory reporting and made other violations, the CBR said. The CBR has appointed a provisional administration to run the bank until an arbitration court rules to declare it bankrupt or to appoint a liquidator of the bank.

January 28, 2008

While the UN Development Program operated in North Korea, government officials monitored UNDP's communications and searched its employees' houses, according to a Senate report release Wednesday night on the eve of testimony by UNDP and other United Nations officials. The report, co-issued by Democrat Carl Levin of Michigan and Republican Norm Coleman of Minnesota, largely confirms the charges leveled over the past year at UNDP for its North Korea programs: that UNDP paid workers' salaries directly to the government in hard currency, had only limited access to sites of projects it funded and no access to its own bank accounts, and paid a vendor asserted by the U.S. State Department to be involved in Kim Jong-Il's weapons programs. The specifics about wiretapping and unannounced searches are new, as are some of the details about the flow of UNDP's funds through Banco Delta Asia, a Macao institution later frozen as a money laundering concern.

January 21, 2008

From U.S. Congressman to stealth diplomat for Ban Ki-moon to Khartoum, to indictment for money laundering -- the story of Mark D. Siljander needs to be further probed. "UN Adviser on Sudan Charged with Terror Money Laundering" -- it's a headline the first part of which the UN would be sure to object to. But from LA Times: "He offered voluntary, informal advice," said the senior U.N. official responsible for coordinating the meetings, who spoke on condition of anonymity. Developing...

January 14, 2008

BB&T Corp. recently paid the U.S. government $10,000 to settle allegations that it allowed funds to be withdrawn from an account held by a known terrorist. The Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Asset Controls says BB&T permitted an automatic debit "against an account held for a specifically designated global terrorist," and did not voluntarily disclose the matter. Question: so BB&T got fined only $10,000? Some deterrent...

On another front, currently the U.S. Foreign Sovereign Immunities Act permit such suits only against countries that the State Department has named state sponsors of terrorism. One theory likely to get attention now is whether Saudi Arabia's alleged money laundering for Al Qaeda counts as commercial activity, which falls under an exemption to the Foreign Sovereign Immunities Act...

January 7, 2008

Regulators to bankers, at the FRBNY: "Since the FBI considers SARs to be like informants, and we normally pay informants, I’m here to pay you," deadpanned FBI special agent Eugene Casey. "Not with money, unfortunately, Congress hasn’t given us a budget yet for this fiscal year, but to pay you compliments and my respect. So thank you. Thank you for filing SARS." Casey and his colleagues took the stage at the NY Federal Reserve conference center in mid-December at the invite of the NY Metro InfraGard Alliance, an FBI-sponsored public-private alliance that urges security and technology chiefs from all sectors to build relationships with law enforcement. The quartet told some tales from the street: Bangladeshi mortgage fraud rings in Queens, $280 million in cash seized in Mexico City earlier this year, and even an ID thief who, when he heard the FBI pounding on his door, escaped out the window naked, pausing only to grab a Ziploc bag containing 400 credit reports. The common thread in most money laundering arrests, the agents attested, was the value of SARs in helping them pursue their cases. Informers, eh?

December 24, 2007

The Central Bank of Russia (CBR) has revoked the license of Moscow-based Bank Kitezh, the CBR said Thursday. The CBR said that Bank Kitezh had repeatedly violated over one year requirements of the federal law on the prevention of money laundering and financing of terrorism. Bank Kitezh did not report to the Federal Service for Financial Monitoring on transactions subject to obligatory reporting, the CBR said. The CBR has appointed a provisional administration to run the bank until an arbitration court rules to declare it bankrupt or to appoint a liquidator of the bank. The CBR could revoke 50-80 banking licenses this year, the CBR's First Deputy Chairman Gennady Melikyan said in November, adding that the bank revokes a similar number of licenses every year. The CBR had revoked 40 licenses as of early November since the beginning of the year, Melikyan added.

December 17, 2007

Othman Ahmed Othman al Haidar, who is wanted by the Bosnian authorities, continued to visit Kosovo but changed his mode of transport - he travelled by air instead of land. Express newspaper sources from Prishtina International Airport have advised that even though that person officially was expelled from Kosova in 2004, he returned through this airport in 2005. The Revival of Islamic Heritage Society (RHIS/P) which has branches/offices in 54 countries, including Kosovo, is on the black list of the US State Department as an NGO that may have ties to Al-Qaeda. The organization has been under investigation by a court in Bosnia-Hercegovina on money laundering charges since 1994. A police official has advised that Othman Ahmed Othman al Haidar was in Kosovo even this year - more specifically, around four weeks ago, and was seen on at least one occasion in the company of a former UNMIK police officer from Pakistan...

December 10, 2007

The president of human rights group Freedom Now, raised the prospect of Washington imposing sanctions, such as those used against a Macau bank accused of money laundering for nuclear-armed North Korea, on a Southeast Asian state-owned bank suspected of links to Myanmar's military rulers. "Anecdotally in conversations with diplomats in ASEAN countries, I know there is a deep concern about the prospects of the United States doing to a state-owned bank what happened to Banco Delta Asia in Macau because of its laundering of North Korean funds," a DC hearing was told...

December 3, 2007

The Central Bank of Russia has revoked banking licenses from three Russian banks for money laundering: Samolyotbank and BIKBANK... Meanwhile, UAE-based banks are reluctant to deal with companies that are likely to import goods into Iran, says Nasser Hashempour, vice-president of the Dubai-based Iranian Business Council....

November 26, 2007

Singapore has no plans to change banking secrecy laws, an official at the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) said last week. "They allow for the necessary transparency in combating criminal activity, while safeguarding investors' interest for safety and security," the official said. The EU is pressing for more transparency in Singapore's banking regime and participation in the EU savings tax directive, so the MAS position could undermine talks for a trade agreement between Singapore and the EU. Singapore insists that it won't become a shelter for money laundering, particularly with the opening of two multi- billion dollar casinos in 2009 and its proximity to countries that are battling terrorist groups. Singapore is resisting pressure to join in the EU withholding tax arrangements, introduced in 2005, which impose a tax on the investments of EU nationals residing in another EU country. They are seen as the main stumbling block to a trade agreement. Switzerland caved in to the pressure and now collects withholding tax for remittance to the member states of the EU. In its statement, the MAS noted: "The Singapore constitution does not allow us to collect taxes on behalf of a foreign country."

November 18, 2007

North Korean officials are to meet US diplomats, Treasury officers and Secret Service agents in talks in New York this week to discuss steps Pyongyang could take to abandon counterfeiting and money laundering activities for it to be integrated into the global financial system. The two-day talks from Monday, convened at Pyongyang's request, will be "related to money laundering and other forms of illicit finance," a US State Department official said. The US team will be led by the Treasury's deputy assistant secretary Daniel Glaser North Korea will be represented at the talks by a six-member delegation led by Ki Kwang-ho, a director at Pyongyang's finance ministry, South Korea's Yonhap news agency reported -- hopefully, it might be added.

November 12, 2007

In Athens, US embassy spokesperson Carol Kalin said Greek authorities have been asked to "investigate" the bank as US allies have been urged to take "similar or comparable measures" to those adopted by Washington. The US last month blacklisted Bank Melli and Bank Mellat, accused of providing banking services for Iran's nuclear agencies, and Bank Saderat, which allegedly funnels funds to Hezbollah, Hamas, PFLP-GC, and Palestinian Islamic Jihad. The bank from 2001 to 2006 transferred 50 million dollars from the Central Bank of Iran to its branch in Beirut via London for the benefit of Hezbollah fronts in Lebanon, and has also transferred several million dollars to Hamas, the State Department says. "As we announced on October 25, we had a new round of US sanctions on certain Iranian entities, including Bank Saderat. This is part of our effort to advance diplomacy on Iran," Kalin said. "We have asked our allies to take similar or comparable measures to those we've taken."

November 5, 2007

From a Q&A with Chris Hill in Beijing last week:

Q You mentioned discussion of the financial issues. The last time that issue came up with BDA the Six-Party Talks stalled for over a year. Are you concerned that some of those things might scuttle talks again this time?

MR. HILL: No, I think from their point of view they're interested in improved access to the international financial system. From our point of view, we're interested in assurances and actions on their part to deal with the problems of counterfeiting and other money laundering concerns, which I think have been prime issues in impeding them from access to the international financial system.

October 29, 2007

"We call on responsible banks and companies around the world to terminate any business with Bank Melli, Bank Mellat, Bank Saderat, and all companies and entities of the IRGC," U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said in a statement. And in Toyko they wondered, how would they pay for and settle on the 10% of their energy that comes from Iran?

Bank Melli has several subsidiaries: Bank Kargoshaee, in Tehran; Bank Melli Iran Zao, in Moscow; Melli Bank, in London; and Arian Bank, a joint venture with Bank Saderat in Kabul. Bank Mellat has branches in Armenia, Britain, South Korea and Turkey. Bank Saderat specializes in the financing of Iranian's foreign trade balance. Its international businesses are mainly concentrated in the Gulf countries and Lebanon, but it is also active in France, Germany and Greece....

October 22, 2007

On the new U.S. list of Myanmar sanctions, Pavo Trading Pte Ltd, Air Bagan Holdings Pte Ltd and Htoo Wood Products Pte Ltd serve as "wake-up call" for Singapore. Also named is Air Bagan Ltd of Myanmar, which last month made Singapore its second international destination. The airline's chairman, Tay Za, arrived on the first flight. According to AFP, Tay Za has very, very strong links to the junta... The directory at a building in Singapore's central business district lists Air Bagan Holdings and the two other blacklisted Singapore-linked firms as operating from a suite on the 24th floor. But the suite carries no sign and workers in neighboring offices said they knew nothing about what type of company operates from there, although they have seen people coming and going on weekdays. An opaque blue sticker covered the door and obscured the interior. Phone and email messages to Pavo Trading were not immediately returned...

October 15, 2007

Revolting revolving door: on the American Bankers Association's committee to weaken anti-money laundering laws are a slew of former regulators: Richard Small, the Federal Reserve AML "guru" who sold out to Citigroup then GE Money; William Fox, former Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (Fincen) director, now at Bank of America; Werner, another former Fincen director and now at Merrill Lynch; and William Langford, a former director of regulatory affairs at Fincen and now a senior vice president of global AML at JPMorgan Chase. The three top banks, the biggest brokerage and GE Money all hired directly from the agencies, and now use them to lobby for de-regulation...

October 8, 2007

A (hype?) search of UK-registered companies turned up 4,000 exact matches for terrorists, financial criminals and disqualified directors. Worldcheck's Rob Mitchell presented findings of the project his firm conducted into UK registered companies to an audience at Mount Murray Hotel. 'Some results were eye opening,' he said. Worldcheck compared the Companies House register with its own database of 589,000 organizations and individuals that have come to their attention through due diligence research, sanctions lists and the likes. Mitchell said: 'There were significant matches across all categories that go well beyond disqualified directors - although we did find 1,504 of these who were current directors of UK firms despite their disqualification.' In fact, the research turned up 4,000 exact matches including 13 for known or suspected terrorists and 154 for people involved in financial crime...

Meanwhile, U.S. President Bush signed off on the first U.S. shipment of heavy fuel oil to North Korea in five years after the country agreed to complete an inventory of its nuclear programs and disable its existing nuclear facilities by the end of the year. The United States will send 50,000 metric tons of fuel worth about $25 million, according to the president's order...

October 1, 2007

In a one-paragraph statement, the government in Macau, a former Portuguese colony that is a burgeoning gambling haven, said last week Banco Delta Asia had shown ''remarkable improvement'' during two years of government oversight. It said that Stanley Au, a former gold dealer who ceded control of the bank in September 2005, would be put in charge of the bank again on September 29...

September 24, 2007

The UN's Ban Ki-moon has appointed Carlos Castresana Fernandez of Spain to head the International Commission against Impunity in Guatemala (CICIG), established under an agreement between the United Nations and the Government of Guatemala that entered into force on 4 September. Castresana was previously assigned to the Special Prosecutor's Office against Drug Trafficking, where he handled cases of criminal organizations charged with international drug smuggling and money laundering...

September 17, 2007

In the same week that Bank of America set a record, jacking up its surcharge for the use of ATMs to three dollars, the Federal Reserve hauled off and delivered an approval, of BofA's takeover of LaSalle. The Fed seems to have ignored most of the issues raised. For example, the Fed states that ICP and Fair Finance Watch

"expressed concern about Bank of America’s connection to investigations and lawsuits related to the bankruptcy of Parmalat SpA, Parma, Italy. The commenter also expressed unsubstantiated concerns about Bank of America’s student loan policies [and] the handling of certain money transfers through the New York branch of Bank of America, National Association."

September 10, 2007

Last week U.S. District Court Judge Victor Marrero ruled that the amended National Security Letters provisions of the Patriot Act that gagged those receiving the letters from disclosing the fact violated the First Amendment and the separation of powers. Since the gag-order provisions could not be meaningfully separated from authority to issue the letters, he struck down the whole law, while staying the implementation of his ruling pending any appeal or for 90 days if there is no appeal. Department of Justice Spokesman Dean Boyd said government lawyers were "reviewing the ruling and considering our options."

September 3, 2007

In 2006, Paraguay imported $4.5 billion worth of goods and exported $1.7 billion. Most economists expect that would have sent the 6.7 million-person country's currency into free fall. That didn't happen, leading many to surmise that the bulk of those imports were re-exported without documents, for example through Cuidad del Este. The wholesalers there, according to McClatchy, include not only the hyped-up Lebanese, but also Koreans...



More fascinating stuff on:

http://www.innercitypress.org/finwatch.html


December 21, 2007

Canada in the fiscal crisis: Naked Capitalism blog

SIV Rescue Plan: RIP

The SV rescue plan touted by the Treasury Deparment and sponsored by Citigroup, JP Morgan, and Bank of America, has finally, officially, had a stake put through its heart today. It dies unmourned and unloved.

It wasn't hard to see that this concept was unlikely to get off the drawing board. But with the Treasury's prestige at stake, Paulson (and even Bernanke) flogging the idea and garnering front page coverage, the plan kept moving ahead, zombie-like, based on momentum rather than merit, demand, or utlility.

The sponsors nevertheless put a brave face on this move, saying the banks would "reactivate" the program if conditions warranted. I guess that's Wall Street for "peace with honor."

While the Vietnam comparison may seem strained consider: the US government, in this case a Treasury secretary, was unable to win the hearts and minds of a reluctant population, in this case both the supposed beneficiaries, the SIV sponsors, and the investors who would ultimately bear the risks. We witnessed the astonishing precedent of a Treasury secretary lobbying top bankers at a G7 meeting to promote what had consistently been depicted as a private sector initiative. There was also more that a bit of boosterism in lieu of reporting in evidence on this story at the Wall Street Journal.

But in the denouement, BlackRock, engaged to act as manager of the program, doth protest too much, complaining that this exercise kept them from taking on other, presumably better-paying, assignments. Yet, but here the firm got tons of profile without having to put its reputation at risk by delivering an outcome. Sounds like awfully good PR to me. And the three sponsors, who incurred real expenses (a hundred lawyers were reported to be working on the deal) aren't whining.

From the Wall Street Journal:
One of the federal government's signature efforts to ease financial instability caused by the subprime-mortgage crisis collapsed as the nation's three biggest banks gave up on a fund intended to rescue tens of billions of dollars in troubled investments....

Banks and Wall Street bond manager BlackRock Inc., which was overseeing the fund, issued a statement late Friday saying they no longer see the need for it. They said banks could reactivate the fund if conditions worsen....


....the government effort did little to end the larger crisis of confidence that has caused markets for bonds and other securities to freeze up. The Treasury Department also invested considerable time and prestige in pushing the super-SIV. As recently as last Monday, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said he was "still optimistic" about progress being made on it.....

One reason for the plan's downfall was that it would only buy the highest-quality assets from the SIVs. That gave banks with SIVs less motivation to create a super-SIV, because the assets they most wanted to unload were those backed by more-troubled slices of mortgage debt.

Although the banks and BlackRock insisted as recently as last Tuesday that the super-SIV was on track and would be formally set up in a few weeks, they decided in the past few days that it was no longer necessary, according to people familiar with the matter. "We've heard loud and clear from the market," said one person involved in the process.

Those exposed to the lower-quality holdings have had to handle them themselves. This includes taking losses on such holdings, as many asset-management units of banks have done. This past week, Morgan Stanley reported a $129 million loss related to SIV holdings in cash funds in its fourth-quarter results.

The abandoning of the super-SIV could be costly for BlackRock, given the amount of time, effort and technology it has invested in the initiative. The work is "taking some capacity away" from its ability to take on other assignments, BlackRock Chief Executive Larry Fink said recently.

From the Financial Times, which highlights the importance of the Canadian asset backed commercial paper market in the money-maker seize-up, as aspect that has gotten relatively little coverage in the US press:
The plan was met with scepticism and the need for the fund has receded as many SIV managers have shored up their finances...

Nevertheless, the banks this week restated their commitment to go ahead with the plan. The banks and the Treasury are expected to say that the plan for a “buyer of last resort” for SIV assets was worth pursuing and was only ever conceived as one of several possible options.

But it may be seen as a setback for Hank Paulson, the Treasury secretary, who publicly backed the plan and insisted that it would go ahead,,,,

Participants in Canada’s non-bank asset-backed commercial paper (ABCP) market were on the verge late on Friday of announcing a restructuring of 21 highly leveraged trusts, or conduits, which have been frozen since August.

The deal, covering close to C$35bn ($35.3bn) in assets, is understood to include major investors in the trusts, as well as more than a dozen Canadian and foreign banks. Under the restructuring proposal, the asset-backed commercial paper would be converted into longer-term securities with maturities of about seven years.

The foreign banks include Deutsche Bank, HSBC and ABN Amro. Their involvement stems from packages of credit default swaps that they sold to the conduits, giving them the right to make margin calls if the value of the assets declines.

The Canadian banks have been asked to help back-stop a credit facility that would enable investors to meet such margin calls. The Canadian finance minister and the governor of the Bank of Canada have taken an active, behind-the-scenes role, seeking to convince the banks that their participation is in the interest of market stability.

The Canadian ABCP market seized up when issuers were unable to roll over maturing paper as a result of turmoil in the US subprime market, investors’ diminishing appetite for risk, and the failure of emergency liquidity provisions in some ABCP issues.

Most major participants agreed to a standstill on liquidating assets and on lawsuits until Jan 31.

But investors have already taken sizeable writedowns on their holdings.

SIVs - hording ca$h, praying for miracle$

New SIV Liquidity Problems to Hit Starting in January

The Financial Times' Paul Davies, citing Dresdner Kleinwort research, tells us that many structured investment vehicles face acute financial demands beginning in January when their medium term notes, the subordinated layer of their funding, come due. Note that this demand is a new source of stress. SIVs were already on the ropes due to their inability to roll maturing commercial paper, which was structured to be senior debt.


From the Financial Times:

The funding problems for the structured investment vehicles (SIVs) that have been at the centre of this year’s liquidity troubles are far from over in spite of a number of banks stepping in to support their vehicles.

January will bring the start of a second wave of liquidity problems for SIVs as the vast majority of medium-term funding starts to come due for repayment, according to a report from Dresdner Kleinwort analysts to be published on Wednesday.

SIVs rely on cheap, short-term debt to fund investments in longer-term, higher-yielding securities. They have been hurt as funding has dried up and asset values have declined.

This cheap debt has come from both the very short-term commercial paper (CP) markets and from the slightly longer maturity medium-term note (MTN) markets. CP funding has long dried up and much of what was sold has matured.

“So far SIVs have primarily felt the impact of collapsed CP issuance,” said Domenico Picone at DrK.

“Outstanding MTN for the 30 SIVs currently stands at $181bn, which will be the next liquidity challenge they face.”

This funding represents almost 65 per cent of the value of the SIV sector by the middle of October. Since then it is likely that SIVs have shrunk a great deal more and that that percentage is almost certainly higher.

According to the DrK analysts’ calculations, two-thirds of all MTN funding for SIVs comes due for repayment by the end of next September. Almost $40bn is to be repaid from January to March alone.

This second liquidity squeeze will affect some SIVs more than others.

Sigma Finance, run by Gordian Knot, accounts for 22.5 per cent of all outstanding MTNs issued by SIVs. It must repay about $22.5bn by the end of September and another $2.5bn in the final quarter.

Another heavy borrower in the MTN market is HSBC’s Cullinan Finance, which must repay $19bn by the end of September. DrK has to repay $13.4bn over the coming nine months and Citigroup $29.1bn.


November 27, 2007

This week's opening stock market analysis (last one?)

I don't intend to publish many more weekly market updates. We all know how to spell FEAR. we can take a pretty big stab at the word "liquidity", too. But how many call spell the word

C R A S H

Why? What's the point? The mainstream media is going to continue to downplay just HOW BAD IT IS and distract people from major points to consider. It's not all about some "housing bubble" gone wrong, it's not even that PLUS the currency crisis, and it's not about Structured Investment Vehicles the latest! greatest! new bailout invented (and signed in 2005 as I have previously shown, thanks to a "tip")

P A N I C A T T A C K

It's about how do we ensure we get adequate FACTS when all the books and figures are COOKED. How do we keep our eyes peeled for the effects upon nations, and people and away from looking at what the gamblers, crooks and crazeeeeeeeees take as truth?

but since this week could bode well for "good" or for "evil", I'm using here the LA Times writeup to show what yesterday's (Monday's) market looked like to the AMERICOCENTRIC. It looks quite different to a Russian Finance Minister, a German householder, a Chinese pensioner, that is for sure.

F I G H T O R F L I G H T

But you gentle reader, can read the below as sign of things to come .. just a notation of the FEAR and PANIC going on. I have added a fresh link - FIRE SALES, if you look. And why would ANYONE with any sanity rush to T-Bills? Quality? Give me a BREAK.

People wonder why BIG PHARMA cooked up VALIUM and CLONAZEPAM (Xanax to YOU): I don't.

Virginia

MARKETS

Stocks plunge on financial system fears



The Dow tumbles 237 points, while the S & P 500 is down 10% from its recent high.
By Tom Petruno, Los Angeles Times Staff Writer
November 27, 2007
Stocks plunged anew Monday on worsening fears about the financial system, driving the Dow index down 237 points and leaving the Standard & Poor's 500 index off more than 10% from its recent record high -- the sharpest pullback in more than four years.

Markets may be reaching a pivotal moment in the turmoil rooted in the housing sector's troubles, some analysts say.

With the latest steep sell-off in stocks, blue-chip indexes fell into "correction" territory -- meaning a decline of at least 10% from their peaks.

What's more, some investors continued to rush into Treasury bonds as a haven, driving yields on the securities to new multiyear lows.

The gloom has become so thick that some analysts say markets are overdue for a respite. "Sentiment is so bearish you have to wonder who's left to sell," said Sam Stovall, investment strategist at Standard & Poor's in New York.

In a surprise announcement late Monday that could help Wall Street's mood, struggling banking giant Citigroup Inc. said it would receive a $7.5-billion capital infusion from the sovereign wealth fund of Abu Dhabi. That helped trigger a rebound in Asian stock markets early today.

The danger is that if the market atmosphere doesn't lighten soon, it could get far worse as more investors move to protect their portfolios, Stovall and others acknowledge.

Fresh worries about the health of the banking system sent the Dow Jones industrial average down 237.44 points, or 1.8%, to 12,743.44, leaving it down slightly more than 10% from its all-time closing high Oct. 9.

The S&P 500 slid 33.48 points, or 2.3%, to 1,407.22. It's off 10.1% from its record high of 1,565.15 also set Oct. 9.

That means the latest decline now has exceeded the 9.4% drop in the S&P 500 from mid-July to mid-August, amid the first throes of the global credit crunch.

It's also the biggest pullback since the index fell nearly 15% from late 2002 to March 2003, just before the Iraq war began.

Once a decline in the indexes exceeds 20% it's generally considered a full-on bear market.

As usual in recent months, financial stocks led the day's sell-off, after HSBC Holdings, Europe's biggest bank, said it would shift $45 billion of assets now in two struggling specialized investment funds to its own balance sheet to avoid a fire sale of the debt securities.

The move raised concerns that other big banks would have to make similar moves, taking substantial losses in the process -- atop the tens of billions of dollars in write-offs tied to mortgage defaults already recorded.

As the banks reel from loan losses, investors have grown fearful that the stress on the financial system could become severe, with potentially dire consequences for markets and the economy, said Lou Crandall, economist at Wrightson ICAP in New York.

"I think there are a lot of investors who recognize that the risk of an accident is far greater than it has been in a long time,"
he said.

That is driving big investors into Treasury bonds as a haven, analysts say. On Monday, heavy buying of government securities pushed the yield on the 10-year T-note to 3.84%, down from 4% on Friday and the lowest since spring 2004. Bond yields fall as the securities' prices rise.

"It's a total fear thing, top to bottom,"
Kevin Giddis, a bond trader at Morgan Keegan Inc. in Memphis, said about the rush into Treasuries.

Stock and bond markets failed to be soothed Monday by the Federal Reserve's statement that it would supply more money to the banking system between now and year's end in an attempt to forestall any cash shortages.

Yet some analysts said the latest sell-off in stocks may well have marked at least a short-term bottom for the market -- and for bond yields.

Crossing the 10% correction level, some said, should bring in bargain-hunters.

"I think we're closer to a bottom here than people think," said Larry Adam, investment strategist at brokerage Deutsche Bank Alex. Brown in Baltimore.

Like many optimists, he doesn't believe that the housing sector's woes will be enough to drag the economy into recession, and expects that investors soon will be attracted to lower stock prices on the assumption that the market will recover in 2008.

Tony Dwyer, equity market strategist at FTN Midwest Research Securities in New York, said the markets were in a
"pure fear-based flight to quality."


What investors have learned about other times like this, he said, is that "you almost always want to take advantage of it" by buying stocks for a rebound.

Today could be a key test for the market, Stovall said. If the S&P 500 can hold above its lowest close in August -- which was 1,406.70 on Aug. 15 -- it could encourage market bulls to jump in.

Still, Dwyer said it wasn't clear whether any near-term rebound would be sustainable. That will depend on whether the global economy can continue to expand -- which may, in turn, depend on whether the U.S. can avoid recession.

"The greatest risk to investors right now is that the global growth story doesn't work out the way they thought,"
he said.

Among Monday's market highlights:

* The drop in the S&P 500 index pushed it back into the red for the year to date, off 0.8%, not including dividends. The Dow still is up 2.2% for the year.

* Losers topped winners by about 3 to 1 on the New York Stock Exchange and on Nasdaq. The Nasdaq composite fell 55.61 points, or 2.1%, to 2,540.99.

The Russell 2,000 small-stock index tumbled 2.6%, and is down 14.1% from its peak July 13.

* In the financial sector, Freddie Mac fell $1.97 to $24.50 and Fannie Mae lost $3.28 to $28.92 after brokerage UBS cut its ratings on the mortgage giants to "neutral" from "buy," citing rising loan defaults.

Among other financial issues, Citigroup slid $1 to $30.70, Bank of America fell $1.27 to $41.88 and Merrill Lynch lost $2.31 to $51.23.

* Retail stocks fell despite what some analysts said was an encouraging start to the holiday shopping season. Kohl's fell $1.23 to $47.49; Target slid $1.95 to $55.22.

tom.petruno@latimes.com

ShareThis